Canelo Álvarez vs. Jaime Munguía Picks

Saul Canelo Álvarez and Jaime Munguía clash in Las Vegas on Cinco de Mayo weekend. The Mexican pair will face off for the right to be called the undisputed super middleweight champion. Alvarez is the betting favorite, and in our boxing betting picks, we tell you if he can successfully defend his four titles.

What: Super Middleweight World Championship
Who: Saul Canelo Álvarez and Jaime Munguía
Where: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada
When: Saturday, May 4th, 2024
Time: 8 p.m ET

Canelo Álvarez is the reigning WBC, WBA, IBF, and WBO super middleweight world champion. Jaime Munguía is unbeaten in his professional career and is a former light middleweight world champion.

On the weekend that Cinco de Mayo is celebrated the two Mexicans will go toe-to-toe in one of boxing's best-known venues in what is set to be an exciting night of action in the Nevada desert.

Canelo is the guy who has been there, done it, and got the t-shirt. It feels like he has been around forever - despite the Mexican only being 33 years old. Munguía is an exciting power puncher. At just 26 years of age, he will be hoping youth trumps experience as he looks to defeat pound-for-pound great Álvarez and shake up the boxing world.

Canelo Álvarez vs. Jaime Munguía Betting

Before Álvarez and Munguía get it on, we have an exciting showdown at the Barclay Center in New York to look forward to as unbeaten Devin Haney puts his WBC super lightweight title on the line against Ryan Garcia in late April.

For more information, check out our latest Devin Haney vs Ryan Garcia betting picks and predictions.

We will also preview the undisputed heavyweight championship showdown between Tyson Fury and Oleksandr Usyk. So keep an eye out for that.

Back to the fight between Álvarez and Munguía, and it’s fair to say that the bookmakers are strongly favoring a win for the undisputed champ. On the money line, BetOnline has Canelo Álvarez at -550 to win and Jaime Munguía at +375 to cause a shock.

Okay, that may seem like one-sided betting odds. But Canelo has been shorter to win in the past.

Onto the props markets, and in the total rounds betting, over 10.5 rounds is -280, with under 10.5 at +220. Look out for more props betting markets coming live in the days leading up to the fight. More boxing betting odds are available on our odds table. For our prices, we have only used the best betting sites for wagering on boxing.

Canelo Álvarez vs. Jaime Munguía
Canelo Álvarez	-550	-550	-550
Jaime Munguía	+375	+375	+375

Over 10.5 Rounds	-280	-280	-280
Under 10.5 Rounds	+220	+220	+220

Canelo Álvarez Career Breakdown

Saul Álvarez has a professional boxing record of 60-2-2. Canelo has won 39 of his 60 fights by knockout, with 21 decided by the judges’ scorecards. His two defeats both came by decision.

It’s hard to believe that Canelo has had that many fights when you consider that he will only be 34 when he celebrates his next birthday in July.

He is coming into the Munguía showdown off the back of three unanimous decision wins over Gennady Golovkin, John Ryder, and Jermell Charlo. The win over Charlo is the most recent, with the fight having taken place in September 2023.

The three-fight winning streak came after only the second defeat Canelo has suffered in his career. That loss came against Dmitry Bivol in May 2022. But that fight has to be put into perspective. Canelo had to step up a weight division to get the fight. And Bival has been the light heavyweight champion since 2017.

Despite this, Bival still went into the fight as a huge betting underdog. But on this occasion, the bookmakers got it wrong, as the bigger man beat the smaller one.

Jaime Munguía Career Breakdown

Jaime Munguía has a pro-fight record of 43-0. Of his 43 wins, 34 have come by knockout, with just nine requiring the scorecards.

Munguía is only 27. Like Canelo, he started his professional career at an early age, turning pro in 2013. He is a former light middleweight champion, a belt he defended five times before vacating to move up to middleweight at the start of 2020.

Jaime Munguia {-500} DEFEATS John Ryder {+350} via 9 round #KNOCKOUT. Won't go 12 rounds {+135} & Munguia wins inside the distance {+170} hits! #Boxing #Boxeo #Boxen #fightjunkie #GamblingTwitter #BoxingTwitter #FightjunkiePodcast #BoxingBetting #JaimeMunguia #JohnRyder pic.twitter.com/XLSPXub1vZ

— Fight Junkie ® (@FightJunkieCom) January 28, 2024

In his most recent fight, Munguía defeated John Ryder in Arizona in January with a ninth-round TKO win. The win was the perfect warm-up ahead of the biggest fight of his career to date.

Canelo Álvarez vs. Jaime Munguía Picks and Predictions

Is it too simple to use the two fighters' contests against John Ryder as a measuring stick? Maybe. But you can't ignore the fights.

Ryder never looked like beating Canelo. At times the Brit was more looking to survive. But the fact that Canelo has not stopped an opponent in his last four contests has seen some asking, is this the start of the end for the current pound-for-pound best?

In stark contrast, Jaime Munguía got Ryder out of there early, finishing the game Londoner in the ninth, in what was to be the unlucky Brit's last fight before retirement. This was only the second time Ryder was stopped in his 39-fight career.

We feel that Munguía has a chance. But Canelo has too much guile and ring craft. In a couple of years, we may reverse this pick. But in the here and now, we make Saul Álvarez our betting pick to win the fight.

Saul Álvarez To beat Jaime Munguía

-550

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