Phoenix Mercury Backed For WNBA Victory At Dallas Wings

What? WNBA: Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings
Where? College Park Center, Arlington, Texas
When? Wednesday, July 3, 2024, 8pm ET

The struggling Dallas Wings (4-15) head into a home matchup against Phoenix Mercury (9-10) on Wednesday night. Tip-off is set for 8:00 PM ET at College Park Center. Let's delve into the WNBA betting odds.

WNBA
Phoenix Mercury -5.5	-110	-110	-110
Dallas Wings +5.5	-110	-110	-110

This game will be a clash of contrasting styles. The Wings boast a league-leading scorer in Arike Ogunbowale, known for her offensive firepower. The question remains whether Dallas can generate enough support around her to overcome a more balanced Phoenix squad.

The Mercury will counter with the well-rounded play of Kahleah Copper, who can contribute across the stat sheet. Look for Phoenix to try and exploit any weaknesses in the Wings' defense and capitalize on their current momentum.

Phoenix Mercury

Despite averaging a respectable 81.8 points per game (fifth in the WNBA), the Phoenix Mercury find themselves with a negative scoring differential. They'll need to tighten up their defense, which currently allows 84.7 points per game (ninth in the WNBA) if they want to climb the standings.

Rebounding could be a key area for improvement. The Mercury average 33 rebounds per game, which falls short of their opponents' average of 36.6. While they boast a potent offense with Kahleah Copper averaging a league-leading 21.8 points per game, they'll need to control the boards to create more scoring opportunities.

Natasha Cloud's playmaking abilities are crucial for the Mercury, with her averaging a stellar 7.3 assists per game. The experience of Diana Taurasi is also a weapon, as she leads the team in three-pointers made with an average of 2.8 per game. Defensively, Cloud is a menace with 1.7 steals per game, while Natasha Mack anchors the paint with an average of 1.6 blocks per game.

Dallas Wings

The high-scoring Dallas Wings (79.8 points per game, eighth in the WNBA) face a stern defensive test. While Dallas boasts an offensive attack led by the explosive Arike Ogunbowale (23.7 points per game), their leaky defense allows 88.1 points per game (12th in the WNBA). Can they outscore their opponents or will the Mercury's defense prevail?

One area where the Wings hold a clear advantage is rebounding. They average 35.6 rebounds per game (fourth in the league) with Monique Billings leading the charge (8.1 rebounds per game). Capitalizing on second-chance opportunities will be crucial for Dallas to overcome their scoring woes.

Despite struggling with three-point shooting (5.6 made threes per game, 10th in the WNBA), Ogunbowale remains a constant threat from beyond the arc, leading the team with 3.3 made threes per game. Her well-rounded game extends beyond scoring, with her 4.9 assists per game showcasing her playmaking abilities. Defensively, she's a menace with a league-leading 2.8 steals per game.

Mercury vs. Wings Prediction and Betting Picks

Predicted Winner: Phoenix Mercury

Dallas Wings +5.5 vs. Phoenix Mercury

-110

Betonline

Betonline is one of the leading online sports books when it comes to betting on WNBA. They offer various betting markets on all the games. You can read our Betonline sportsbook review for much more information about this betting site.

The over/under line is set at 167 which is about right. I will predict it to be slightly over the set line and the odds of that happening are -115.

Over 167 Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings

-115

Betonline

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