Donāt even think about UFC 286 betting until you read this article all the way through. The pay-per-view comes live from London on Saturday, March 18 ā and weāre giving you three free betting picks, including on Edwards-Usman III.
Edwards Vs. Usman Betting Pick
We got ourselves the rare trilogy fight as the headline bout of UFC 286. Edwards outs up his welterweight championship on the line, however, the title-holder is the uncommon underdog in the title fight. As you can see below, Usman is a comfortable favorite to win, per the best betting sites for UFC:
No one who watched their rematch this past August at UFC 278 should be surprised by the current odds. Thatās because Usman was one minute away from securing a convincing victory before he was caught with a pitch-perfect kick to the face. It was an instant knockout ā and one of the best of the year. But without it, Edwards was on his way to a unanimous decision defeat.
Thatās why weād be shocked if Edwards won at UFC 286. While he did successfully take down Usman in the past fight ā the first ever time that Usman has been grappled to the ground while in the UFC ā that was a blip on the radar. Aside from that moment, it was Usman in complete control. His wrestling, per usual, was giving Edwards all sorts of problems. That wonāt change in the third and decisive fight.
The only way Edwards wins is if lightning strikes twice. Will it? We say no. While it is true that Edwards very obviously planned a kick like that (thereās videos of him in training practicing the same exact blow), we think Usman will be much more cautious this time around. Usman admitted going for the finish in the fight ā a decision that cost him dearly. Perhaps he just leans even more into his wrestling to outpoint Edwards this time around.
So hereās our final prediction: Usman wins by decision. As you can tell, Usmanās moneyline odds arenāt all that lucrative. So perhaps itās worth pairing that moneyline with the betting under into a parlay. If our prediction pans out, the payout would be significantly better than just taking the moneyline straight up.
Justin Gaethje vs. Rafael Fiziev Betting Pick
The semi-main event is going to be a barn-burner, thereās just no way it isnāt ā not when you have two knockout artists in the same cage. On one end, you have one of the heaviest punchers in the lightweight division, Gathje. Fiziev, however, has shot up the division rankings with one finish after another. Whoever wins this could be in line for a title shot too so expect the best from both. As it stands, hereās where the Gaethje-Fiziev betting odds stand:
We think the kicking game could be the X-factor here. Gathje usually is the better kick striker, but will not be in this one. With Fizievās deep Muy Thai background, heās likely the very best kicker in the whole division. Those kicks will likely be enough to keep Gaethje at bay. If Gathje doesnāt have room to connect his massive punches, then heās just not the same lethal fighter weāre used to seeing.
Therefore, weāre picking Fiziev to prevail. We believe heāll have ample opportunity to carve up Gaethje ā not just with his feet, but his hands too. Fizievās elusiveness and speed will present a real problem for the aging Gaethje. We would not be surprised in the slightest if Fiziev gets the stoppage win.
Joanne Wood vs. Luana Carolina Betting Pick
For our third and final UFC 286 pick, we wanted to hone in on the āhomeā fight ā sort of. Scottish fighter Wood will likely have crowd backing here in London, but still, it wonāt be overwhelming support either. Wood is currently the betting favorite over Carolina in this flyweight clash, but weāre not in agreement. Before we get to that, though, hereās how the odds shake out:
To us, Woods is, more or less, finished in the octagon. Sheās lost three straight fights ā the highest streak of her career ā and turned 37 a few months ago. Carolina is eight years younger and should have no problem taking care of business. Our money is on the Brazilian to play spoiler against the U.K. fighter.
How To Bet On UFC 286
For a complete list of UFC 286 betting options, you absolutely need to visit one of the bookmakers listed below. Every site you see in the table is there because they rated high in our latest sportsbook review section so youāre money is in good hands no matter where you park your money. Any one of them will offer all types of UFC bets.
With that said, if you need help picking the very best sportsbook to wager on, then consider the current bonuses available at each. The table lists ongoing sign-up bonuses available to new players. If leveraged, these deals could make your UFC 286 betsĀ free of cost so donāt pass āem up.
-
EXCLUSIVE BONUS
50% bonus up to $250Play NowT&C apply, 18+, Play responsibly
-
50% bonus up to $1000Play Now
T&C apply, 18+, Play responsibly
-
EXCLUSIVE BONUS 125% up to $3,125Play Now
T&C apply, 18+, Play responsibly
-
50% up to $500Play Now
T&C apply, 18+, Play responsibly
-
100% up to $1,000Play Now
T&C apply, 18+, Play responsibly
