Dana White has announced main events for several UFC shows just right around the corner. These are money fights — not only to watch but to bet on. You’re going to want to get our UFC main event picks right here cause we’re confident they’ll soon pay out.
Alex Pereira vs. Jamahal Hill Betting Pick
UFC 300 is being billed as one of the biggest shows in promotion history and it’ll be headlined by this light heavyweight title bout. Pereira is the current betting favorite over Hill, but not by much. Here’s how the best UFC betting sites have the fight pegged:
Pereira enters this fight as one of the most accomplished combat sports fighters of his generation — a world-class kickboxing champion in Glory turned two-division UFC champion. Of course, what makes him special is his kickboxing style. Pereira can put anyone out instantly with his striking, whether it’s from kicks or punches. Sure, he doesn’t have this stellar ground game but up until now, it hasn’t slowed him down one bit.
Then there’s Hill, who was the champion but had to vacate it due to an Achilles tear. This injury happened last summer, and Hill hasn’t fought since then. As a bettor, that ring rust should factor into your decision. An Achilles injury has stopped all-time great athletes (Kobe comes to mind) so there’s no telling if this is the same Hill stepping into the octagon.
Even assuming Hill is his old self, we’re not sure he beats Pereira. His resume has always been suspect to us, as the majority of Hill’s signature wins were against over-the-road opponents like Ovince Saint Preux, Thiago Santos, and Glover Teixeira. Pereira is 36 but he doesn’t fight like it. He’s one of the most dangerous fighters in the UFC, and our money says Pereira guts out the UFC 300 victory.
Alexandre Pantoja vs. Steve Erceg Betting Pick
This flyweight championship match will headline May’s UFC 301 card, which happens to take place in Brazil. Of course, Pantoja is Brazilian, which partially explains the Pantoja-Erceg betting odds. Have a look-see at the current odds:
There’s been criticism about the matchmaking here. That’s because Erceg is stunningly ranked No. 10 in the division. So how does Erceg get a shot at the title? Well, that’s because Pantoja has beaten many of the top contenders, notably Brandon Royval (twice) and Brandon Moreno. Moreover, a few other flyweights are coming off losses so that’s how Erceg ends up in this spot.
Regardless, Erceg is still out of his element. We just don’t know what type of fighter he is yet since he’s only fought three times in the UFC. Yes, he’s been impressive — his striking and grappling is top notch — but Pantoja is a major step up in competition. The champion can strike and grapple even better than the challenger.
We’re quite confident that Pantoja pulls this out. Erceg is more talented than his No. 10 ranking lets on, but his inexperience probably trips him up here. Pantoja has been in wars with the division’s best and that gives him a winning edge. Back the championship with a bet here.
Robert Whittaker vs Khamzat Chimaev Betting Pick
All right, this fight really isn’t soon, but it’s been announced way in advance. This middleweight clash will headline the UFC’s debut in Saudi Arabia come June 22. Right now, the moneyline odds between Chimaev and Whittaker are near pick ‘em. Here’s how it stands:
Chimaev is the favorite, as he should be. Here you have a 13-0 fighter (7-0 in UFC). He fights out of the UAE so he’ll have the Arab crowd in his corner. The thing is, Chimaev has let his career stall mostly due to inactivity. One time thought to be a title challenger, he’s only No. 11 in the middleweight rankings. He’s only fought once — beating Kamaru Usman — in the last 18 months.
Whittaker, of course, is one of the best middleweights of all time. He’s fought the best and beaten most of 'em, minus Israel Adesnya. He’s 33 now but is fresh off an impressive win against Paulo Costa.
How long this fight lasts likely determines who wins. That’s because Chimaev has the advantage early on. He’s a fantastic grappler, albeit one with a small gas tank. If it lasts past two rounds, the advantage swings to the ultra-durable Whittaker. Our instinct tells us Chimaev gets the ‘W. Despite the inactivity, he’s still got the goods inside the octagon — bank on it!
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