Betting on UFC 292? Read this first then. Weâve analyzed the fight cardâs very top bouts and come away with three betting picks to make. If you keep on reading, youâll get âem for free from us!
- What: UFC 292
- When: August 19, 2023
- Where: TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts
- How to watch: ESPN+
Aljamain Sterling vs. Sean OâMalley Betting Picks
The main event features two fighters that many fans donât believe should be even in here. Sterling is still one of the most disrespected champions â even after three successful defenses. OâMalley, meanwhile, most donât think he beat Petr Yan to set this up in the first place. But hey, itâs happening, and here are the Sterling-OâMalley moneyline odds:
Across the board at UFCâs most-used online betting sites, Sterling is the comfortable favorite to win. That comes despite a short turnaround from his last fight against Henry Cejudo, which was only in May. Sterling wanted time off to recover and heal injuries, but Dana White wasnât having it and set this up. Could that fatigue play a factor?
Itâs certainly possible given OâMalley possesses some of the best hands in the whole promotion. Yes, he has length. Yes, he has cracking power. But what really makes OâMalley a dangerous striker is his precision. Heâs pinpointing his bombs, not just letting them fly. If heâs going to best Sterling, then it almost has to be a finish.
We donât see a scenario where OâMalley can win via a decision. Sterling is the better all-around fighter. In particular, Sterling has an impressive takedown ability. Last time out, he took down Cejudoâ a former Olympian in wrestling â on four occasions. Putting OâMalley on his back is certainly one way to neutralize his dangerous hands.
But hereâs one more thing that can turn this right: who has the gas tank to last five rounds? Sterling has proven he does as thatâs his M.O. â not stoppages. But OâMalley? Weâre not convinced he can hang long. OâMallet was quite gassed after two rounds vs. Yan last time. For these reasons, the pick to make is Sterling. The champion just has more path to victory compared to the challenger that NEEDS a finish.
Weili Zhang vs. Amanda Lemos Betting Pick
A second championship will be on the line at UFC 292 when womenâs strawweight title-holder Zhang defends against Lemos. Here again, the moneyline odds arenât particularly close with the champ being -310. Weâre not in love with that, hence why weâre jumping on the Zhang-Lemos over/under instead. The odds for that are as follows:
This fight has some parallels to the main event. With this one, Lemosâ best (and maybe only) chance at seizing the belt is to finish Zhang. She is fully capable of doing so too. Lemos is an excellent striker. Sheâs trained in Muy Thai and with her speed, a devasting strike is always milliseconds away. Zhang was famously caught with a massive leg kick by Rose Namajunas before so itâs within reason of happening.
Nonetheless, weâre still confident Zhang will win. Sheâs actually the more prolific striker, landing 5.76 significant strikes per minute compared to Lemosâ 4.51. Plus, she has a wrestling game to fall back in a way that the challenger really doesnât. That wrestling might be handy in wearing down Lemos. Our prediction is this fight goes late, if not an outright decision, so take the over.
Marlon Vera vs. Pedro Munhoz Betting Pick
Originally, Henry Cejudo was supposed to fight Vera. But when he pulled out last month, Munhoz became the fill-in. Perhaps thatâs one reason why Vera is a comfortable betting favorite to win over Munhoz:
Whatâs interesting enough is that both men have a common opponent in the title challenger of the night, OâMalley. Vera handed OâMalley his only career loss, while Munhoz couldâve added a second if not for getting his eye poked, and resulting in a no-contest. That tells you how close each fighter is to the title picture.
In this fight, weâre leaning with Vera to win. Both men prefer to fight on their feet, but we suspect Vera will have the advantage. He struggles against creative fighters that can surprise him while striking. Weâre not convinced Munhoz fits that bill. Munhozâs strikes are rarely unpredictable, which we believe will help Vera pick him apart, hence our pick.
How To Bet On UFC 292
If you need a trusty sportsbook to place all your UFC 292 bets at, then look no further than one of the sites listed below. Every type of bet â from moneylines to props â will be available at any one of these bookmakers. UFC 292 is more than 10 fights deep so that adds up to a whole lot of betting opportunities.
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