UFC 306 Picks, Ortega vs Lopes Betting Picks

What: UFC 306 Main Card
Who: Brian Ortega vs. Diego Lopes
Date: Saturday, September 14, 2024
Location: The Sphere in Las Vegas, Nevada
Time: Prelims (7:30 p.m. ET), Main Card (10:00 p.m. ET), Ortega vs Lopes (around Midnight. ET)
How to Watch: Prelims (ESPN/ESPN+) Main Card (PPV), Ortega vs Lopes (PPV)

UFC 306 digs into the Featherweights for an exciting bout sometime just before Midnight on Saturday night. So far, Brian Ortega has shown much resilience. He avenged his loss to Yair Rodriguez in Mexico City of all places at UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Royval 2. Best UFC 306 bets look into his fight against the dangerous Diego Lopes.

Diego Lopes, a Featherweight veteran, (25-6) has gone 4-1 in his previous five fights. He did lose in his UFC debut but has bounced back since. The problem for Lopes may be fighting at different weights. He just fought in June at a catchweight of 165 pounds. The Brazilian won but now has to go back to 145 and fight a motivated Ortega.

Brian Ortega (16-3, 1 NC) makes an attempt for a third potential shot at the UFC Featherweight Championship. Time is becoming an issue for the 33-year-old. If the doctor had not stopped that Max Holloway fight, maybe he would have won. Then again, one never knows.

Okay, what are some of the best bets for the Brian Ortega vs. Diego Lopes bout on this UFC 306 card? Let's try to re-examine all those excellent UFC betting online 2024 sites and where you can get the updated top odds on all UFC fights.

UFC 306 Main: Brian Ortega vs. Diego Lopes Betting Picks

UFC 306 Main Card
Brian Ortega	+150	+155	+155
Diego Lopes	-180	-180	-185

Best UFC 306 Bets: Brian Ortega Betting Analysis

With the Best UFC 306 Bets, sometimes betting analysis can be frank and blunt. Even Ortega knows that Father Time is nearing for the fighter. Losing to Yair Rodriguez was one thing. The shoulder injury and mental outlook became far worse. As a result, Ortega took more than 18 months off before training again and defeating Rodriguez in a revenge fight. The submission move was utter brilliance and things looked better for Ortega.

Unfortunately, problems began to rear their ugly head once again. Ortega gamely tried to make weight for a June 29th fight with Diego Lopes. However, that proved costly as the American became ill and had to withdraw. Dan Ige was brought in short notice to fight Lopes at a 165-pound catchweight. It is easier to put on weight than take it off. Ortega would have to wait a couple more months to get in the Octagon.

Ortega is 33 years old but ranked #3 in the UFC Featherweight Division. He has the body of record to get that next title shot. However, does he have the ability to get past a motivated Diego Lopes, who seems to be only getting better in the division?

The pressure squares in right on Ortega here. At least, the Californian is an underdog for this bout. The numbers are right around +150 to +155 on the Moneyline. It does make some sense. Lopes is the up and comer but can Ortega teach him a few lessons even with a lingering question or two about that shoulder.

Brian Ortega To defeat Diego Lopes

+155

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How About Some Diego Lopes Betting Picks

Diego Lopes becomes an interesting case study because he is still relatively new to most in the UFC. He has fought five times and won his last four bouts. Lopes easily defeated Ige in June after Ortega could not make the fight. With the ranking system, the Brazilian may be ranked #12 currently but the reality is he is well inside the Top 10. The Best UFC 306 Bets could be interesting as experts have rightly deemed Lopes the favorite.

Lopes has good submission skills as the 29-year old took down Gavin Tucker with a well-timed armbar last August. Since then, his punching power has come into focus against fighters like Pat Sabatini and Sodiq Yusuff. Against Ige, the Brazilian could almost land at will. Some thought that Lopes might even get a KO or TKO in Round 2. Lopes carries one of the better significant strike accuracy rates in the division at over 62%. Ortega is around 40%.

The attack plan for Lopes is pretty simple. A submission is possible but he needs to set up with those punch combinations. Remember the record overall that Lopes has (10 knockouts, 12 submissions, and three decisions). Then consider his ability so far in the UFC, the Brazilian is versatile in enough disciplines to keep Ortega guessing. People forget about his Black Belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu but more in his technique. That makes him dangerous here by KO/TKO/Submission.

Diego Lopes To win by KO/TKO/Submission

EVEN

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Best UFC 306 Bets – Brian Ortega vs. Diego Lopes

With these Best UFC 306 Bets, the process got more difficult. For one, Lopes is now around +150 to +175 for a decision in early props. As for Ortega, the clear and present path is ironically a decision and maybe a split decision. The concern there is that some money could head to the American's side right before the PPV on Saturday night.

Do the combinations of punches land early for either fighter? That advantage goes to the Brazilian on the surface. If one believes in the power, this fight goes to Lopes. If one thinks Ortega can catch Lopes, then this becomes much different.

The betting pick of Lopes to win by knockout is our best bet. That will shift. It would be prudent to look at the submission for Lopes on a smaller bet. Good luck on Saturday night as this PPV expects to be quite the card. If it is anything like the UFC Fight Night on Saturday, then look out!

Diego Lopes To win by KO over Ortega

+135

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