UFC 306 Picks, Grasso vs Shevchenko 3 Best Bets

What: UFC 306 Co-Main
Who: Alexa Grasso vs. Valentina Shevchenko
Date: Sunday, September 15, 2024
Location: The Sphere in Las Vegas, Nevada
Time: Prelims (7:30 p.m. ET), Main Card (10:00 p.m. ET), Co-Main (a bit after Midnight. ET)
How to Watch: Prelims (ESPN/ESPN+) Main Card (PPV), Co-Main (PPV)

UFC 306 features what we believe will be the final bout in one intriguing trilogy. So far, Alexa Grasso is 1-0-1 against Valentina Shevchenko. Some argue the second fight should have gone to the Russian by decision. However, a case could have been made for Grasso too. This shapes up to be a phenomenal fight. Best UFC 306 bets look into this co-main.

Alexa Grasso, the Flyweight champion, (16-3-1) has gone 5-0-1 in her previous six fights. She did draw in her rematch with Shevchenko. The previous fight was for the 125-pound championship. Grasso executed one of the best face cranks for a submission move anyone has ever seen. Now, the Russian had no choice but to tap out.

Valentina Shevchenko (23-4-1) tries again to regain her UFC Flyweight Championship. Time may be running out for the 36-year-old. Several media people believe to this day that Shevchenko was robbed on the level of Petr Yan and Sean O'Malley. Some downplay that a little.

Okay, what are some of the best bets for the Alexa Grasso vs. Valentina Shevchenko bout on this UFC 306 card? Let's try to get a second look at those top-UFC betting online 2024 sites and where you can pick out the prime odds on all UFC fights.

UFC 306 Main: Alexa Grasso vs. Valentina Shevchenko Betting Picks

UFC 306 Co-Main
Alexa Grasso	-115	-112	-120
Valentina Shevchenko	-105	-108	EVEN

Best UFC 306 Bets: Alexa Grasso Betting Analysis

Alright, the Best UFC 306 Bets deliver betting analysis that can be considered not flattering necessarily. Even Grasso does not firmly believe she won the second fight. Everyone knows what happened in fight number one. Grasso unleashed a late Round 4 face crank that seemed to come out of nowhere. That was only the second submission win of Grasso's career. The Mexican fighter became UFC Flyweight Champion.

Okay, when it comes to knockouts, submissions, and decisions. Grasso has more wins by decisions. Out of her 16 wins, the Mexican has a total of 10 courtesy of going the distance. Her fights tend to be rather close. The biggest one was the second bout against Shevchenko where Grasso scored a 10-8 round according to at least one judge in the final round. It was a questionable scoring at best. At worst, the Russian was deprived of regaining her belt.

Grasso stands a chance to end this trilogy with her stamp on things. It would be poetic for her not to leave it to the scorecards. However, the full expectation is for this fight to go the distance and be wall-to-wall brawl. The one thing the Mexican has going for her is time here.

So, there may be more pressure on Shevchenko when compared to Grasso. At least here, Grasso is a very slight favorite. The numbers are almost even on some books but most are slightly leaning to the champion. It makes sense too. Grasso turned 31 on August 9th and is motivated to celebrate with completing this trilogy. The pick lies with Grasso winning once again by a decision. This time, Shevchenko may have had to wait too long.

Alexa Grasso To win by decision over Valentina Shevchenko

+115

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UFC 306: Valentina Shevchenko Betting Picks

Valentina Shevchenko defended her championship for over four years and faced all comers. However, Grasso has proven to be beyond reproach. It is hard to believe that the loser of the fight will likely have to go through some title eliminator just to get in this position to go for the title again. By then, it might honestly be too late for the Russian. It is that urgency which plays like a double-edged sword.

Shevchenko must watch for the championship rounds. It was Round 4 in the first fight where Grasso scored the upset in bout number one. Then, bout two saw Grasso find a way to tie it up and secure a split draw. Can Shevchenko create enough of a cushion? If she can do so, she will regain her championship.

Therefore, the plan for Shevchenko is to attack, attack, and attack. She ideally is so well-rounded when it comes to her wins (eight knockouts, seven submissions, and eight decisions). The multiple time Female Fighter Of The Year knows this likely is her final shot at glory. If there was a time, the time is now.

Valentina Shevchenko To win and regain her championship

EVEN

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Best UFC 306 Bets – Alexa Grasso vs. Valentina Shevchenko

Plowing headfirst into the Best UFC 306 Bets revealed a few things. For one, Shevchenko by decision was at +155 but a knockout came closer to +200. Submission has lengthened out to +350 and could go all the way out to +500 or greater. The best two options for Shevchenko are for the knockout and decision. As for Grasso, the clear and present bet is to go for that decision and little else. The concern there is that the money pours in on the Grasso side.

Does the ability to throw so many strikes from so many different angles truly mean something? That advantage goes to the Russian. If one believes in persistence, tenacity, and creativity then Grasso may just win this again. It will be lots of fun and excitement early on September 15th.

The betting pick of Grasso to win by decision is our best bet. That will shift. It would be smart to go with this while taking a fiier on the submission for Grasso on a very tiny wager. Good luck and hopefully this third bout can just end without any kind of controversy.

Alexa Grasso To win by submission

+350

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Below are some offshore sportsbook reviews guaranteed to help for the weekend and early next week