Boss Steve Cooper will look to continue his success at Nottingham Forest on Sunday against West Ham. The Trees will visit London with a major rest advantage, as West Ham are set to host Olympiacos on Thursday in the UEFA Europa League. Can Nottingham Forest capitalize on West Ham’s lack of firepower recently and earn a result? Read on to access an expert West Ham vs Nottingham Forest prediction and learn about the latest Nottingham Forest results.
- West Ham United vs Nottingham Forest FC, English Premier League
- November 12, 2023
- 9 AM EST
- London Stadium, London, England
- Peacock
West Ham vs Nottingham Forest Prediction: Who do Sportsbooks Favor?
West Ham are the odds-on favorites at the moment at (-110), but those odds could very well change after West Ham completes its continental challenge with Olympiacos. Another disappointing result may influence the sportsbook’s opinions of this club’s abilities. Nottingham Forest bettors can enjoy over 3:1 odds at highly-rated online sportsbook BetUS. A draw, with a current price of (+283), has an implied probability to occur at 26.1%.
To better understand the 3-way moneyline (1X2) market, see our soccer betting tips and learn about English Premier League betting odds.
West Ham Falling Apart as of Late
West Ham United broke their 17-match unbeaten streak in Europe with a loss to Olympiacos on October 26. This was followed by 2 losses in 3 matches, including one at home to Everton. A monumental EFL Cup win over Arsenal split the disappointing outcomes, but isn’t quite enough to outshine the club’s poor run of form. They have now lost four out of five games, and could lose again if they cannot improve upon their latest performance against the club from Piraeus.
The Hammers have surrendered 11 total goals during this bad stretch, and now find themselves outside of the top 10 of the Premier League. To put things into perspective, the club has garnered only 0.8 PPG in this 5-game period, good for one of the lowest returns in the country during that span. They have now suffered 3 straight defeats at the top domestic flight.
West Ham’s struggles bring along the age-old question: Is the manager still fit to run the club? David Moyes guided the Hammers to their second major piece of European silverware last season. A win over Fiorentina in the Europa Conference League final was considered a massive accomplishment. However, it appears Moyes will not return to West Ham after his contract expires next summer.
In retrospect, this may not be a surprise to many pundits. West Ham flirted with relegation during much of last season, and have not significantly improved in this 2023/24 campaign. Additionally, rumors have swirled regarding front office rifts with the manager. Some believe ex-Chelsea boss Graham Potter is a great fit to coach the Hammers next year. His attacking style of football would blend with West Ham’s current roster.
Nottingham Forest Results and Schedule
Nottingham Forest’s results have not quite lived up to the advanced data they have produced this season. This bodes well for punters who are high on the Tricky Trees, as sportsbooks and fellow bettors alike may not see the value the team provides. If results are not meeting the true expectations, there will be a potential discrepancy in the lines that allows bettors like us to gain value over the market.
Nottingham Forest has outperformed its actual goals on both offense and defense from an expected goals perspective. Frankly, this means Nottingham Forest has been unlucky. And with a strong traveling fanbase, they will not feel too far away from home.
I believe many bettors put too much stock into home and away statistics when judging a club. It is far too early in the season to make any rational judgments about the performance of a club when they are on the road or on their home grounds. There will be some who believe Nottingham Forest simply cannot compete with West Ham because they have played poorly as visitors this campaign. But with only five total away fixtures so far, their 15th-placed ranking as an away team could very well be misguided. Don't make a West Ham vs Nottingham Forest prediction with this logic alone.
West Ham vs Nottingham Forest Prediction and Free Betting Pick
The Tricky Trees are a great team to bet on at the moment. They are overperforming their actual results and will come into this fixture with a massive rest advantage. West Ham will only get a couple days off before jumping back into the fray. Steve Cooper will have a strong, healthy lineup to work with and many days to game plan against a side that has lost 3 straight league games.
I think Nottingham Forest can earn a result here despite their poor performance as the away side so far. They are priced at near plus-money to do so, a number I think is far too low.
Additionally, we are ahead of the line before West Ham plays Olympiacos. If they fall yet again, we may see this number rise, giving us strong closing line value. If West Ham wins, this line may not budge much, as they are expected to do so anyways. This offers a low-risk, high-reward opportunity to beat the line on a bet I like regardless. Take the Tricky Trees to win or draw at (-105).
Odds are accurate at the time of writing but are subject to change.
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