Liverpool visits the winless Eagles at Selhurst Park in the early game of the Premier League weekend. The last game before another international break commences, Crystal Palace and their manager Oliver Glasner will be under pressure to deliver after earning just 3 points through six matches. Liverpool have gone relatively unscathed under Arne Slot’s tutelage, with a single blemish coming to Nottingham Forest at home. Read on for Crystal Palace v Liverpool tips and explore a breakdown of English Premier League stats.
- English Premier League season
- Crystal Palace FC vs Liverpool FC
- October 5, 2024
- 7:30 AM EST
- Selhurst Park
- Fubo, Peacock, NBC Sports, USA Network, Universo
Crystal Palace v Liverpool Tips: Who do Sportsbooks Favor?
Crystal Palace are big underdogs despite playing in front of their home supporters on Saturday. The hosts are given a line of (+505) to earn their first Premier League victory of the season. Liverpool are the odds-on favorites at (-190). A draw pays out at (+380).
Want to better understand the 3-way moneyline (1X2) market? See our soccer betting tips and learn about 2024 English Premier League odds.
Arne Slot Picking Up Where Jurgen Klopp Left Off
Liverpool are under new coaching directions as Jurgen Klopp held true to his word, retiring upon the conclusion of the 2023-24 campaign. His tenure was not as fruitful as it arguably should have been due to the dominance of Manchester City, but he delivered Champions League and Premier League trophies to the city. While Klopp’s retirement had an air of uncertainty to it, Arne Slot’s appointment was a clear sign of Liverpool’s shift to a new era.
Slot comes from Feyenoord, a Dutch side that excelled with him in the past few years. While Slot and Klopp both share an affinity for aggressive pressing tactics, “Slot-ball” is much more conservative in nature than Klopp’s heavy metal style. We are now seeing a less tenacious Reds team when holding leads. For example, Liverpool slogged to a simple 2-0 victory over Bologna in the Champions League this midweek, keeping things very low event. That is a direct contrast from Klopp’s incessant counter-attacks which only seemed to increase in tempo as the game progressed.
The slower style of play has not stopped Liverpool from shooting up to the top of the table in England. The Reds are first place at the moment with 15 points and have conceded just twice all season. One of those concessions was to Nottingham Forest, who held on for their first victory at Anfield in over a half-century. Slot must be cautious now, as teams will attempt to replicate the winning blueprint created by Nuno Espirito Santo to defeat the best team in the league at the moment.
Crystal Palace Off to Poor Start After Late Season Success
At first, it felt like Oliver Glasner’s appointment as manager was like finding a diamond in the rough. Crystal Palace immediately went on an impressive stretch of wins and most notably destroyed Man United 4-0 at Selhurst Park, completing the double over the Red Devils. But this season has been not so kind to the Eagles. They have yet to win a game and clearly lack the offensive dynamism that brought them so much success in the latter half of last term.
The relegation zone is now a real concern to be the landing spot for the Eagles at the end of the season, a dismaying turn of events for a club that had aspired to push for a top-10 spot. While it is dangerous to make such assumptions so early in the year, Christmas time will likely be a decision point for Crystal Palace. If Glasner is able to right the ship by the holidays, he will likely stay on through the spring. But continuing on this pace is simply not acceptable for a storied London team packed with talent.
Breakdown of Crystal Palace and Liverpool Results
Liverpool are entering this game on just a few days’ rest, performing their European duties this midweek against Bologna. Crystal Palace, on the other hand, have had nothing to do this week but think about their loss to Everton and the task ahead. A home match before the international break is the perfect opportunity to redeem what has been a disappointing start to their 2024-25 campaign.
On the surface, no wins and just 3 points through six matches is a recipe for relegation and sackings abound. But when taking a closer look at the results, Crystal Palace has been quietly efficient. They held Man United scoreless at home following a 2-2 draw to Leicester City (who have been better than advertised) and an away draw to top-4 hopefuls Chelsea. Away defeats to Brentford and Everton are not ideal, but I rate both of those squads highly despite what their records suggest.
Crystal Palace also took care of business both at home and away in the EFL Cup against Norwich City (4-0) and QPR (1-2). In conclusion, the Eagles are a much better team than their table position belies and a line north of 5:1 at home is simply unfair. Crystal Palace should be able to limit Liverpool’s attack as Nottingham Forest did and make this a competitive match.
Crystal Palace v Liverpool Tips
I have the Draw No Bet line projected at (+137) for Crystal Palace, so I really like the value we are getting here. I am taking this for a half unit given the long-shot nature of the bet, but the rest advantage, public perception, and projections all align for a punt on Crystal Palace. This should be closer than you expect, so why not take a shot on the home side? After all, Forest pulled it off against the Reds just a few matchweeks ago.
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