Through three weeks of the 2023 NFL season, the Seattle Seahawks rank as one of the league’s most surprising teams. But is their early play a mirage, or is it indicative of something larger? Seattle will get another chance to convert skeptics on Monday, October 2, at 8:20 p.m. eastern standard time, on the field at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey, when they take on the 1-2 New York Giants.
On the surface, this reads like a favorable matchup. The Giants have been underdogs through each of their first three games. But, well, they are not underdogs anymore. Here are the latest online NFL betting odds for New York vs. Seattle:
As usual, please remember to double-check these NFL online betting odds right up until you actually submit your wager. Our Giants vs. Seahawks odds are accurate entering Tuesday, September 26. That gives the best NFL online betting sites more than enough time to make changes ahead of opening kickoff on Monday night.
It is, indeed, pretty surprising to see the Giants get the benefit of the doubt. Especially this far out. New York still doesn’t know if they will have star running back Saquon Barkley in the lineup, and quarterback Daniel Jones is coming off yet another nondescript performance in Week 3.
Really, the circumstances seem ripe for Seattle to win their third consecutive game and prove themselves a force in the NFC West division. Are we perhaps missing something? Let’s get to our Seahawks vs. Giants predictions to find out!
Why Are the Giants Favored to Beat the Seahawks in Week 4?
Three things stand out above all else after thinking about the Giants-Seahawks Week 4 moneyline. First, the price definitely accounts for home-field advantage. That’s fine. Second, the Seattle vs. New York betting odds also seem to presume that Barkle will suit up. His ankle sprain kept him out of action in Week 3 against the San Francisco 49ers, but multiple reports have since said he has a chance to play against the Seahawks. Counting on that feels uncomfortably presumptive. Especially given his previous injury history. But it’s at least an explanation.
Finally, and perhaps most importantly, analysts and fans and betting experts almost universally distrust the Seahawks defense. Seattle is currently 29th in points allowed per game, 29th in net yards allowed per passing attempt, 22nd in passing touchdowns allowed, 20th in interceptions forced and 28th in rushing touchdowns allowed. That is not the makeup of an elite team, even if they’re fielding an incredibly dangerous offense.
Still, while this defensive profile matters against other elite teams, the Giants aren’t that. Their offense is, quite frankly, a dud. New York ranks 30th in points scored per game and places inside the bottom seven of interceptions thrown, net yards per passing attempt and passing touchdowns.
Optimists keep holding out hope for Daniel Jones to turn a corner as the Giants’ signal-caller. They should probably stop. Jones has not thrown for three touchdowns in a single game since 2019, according to Yahoo Sports. Sure, if Barkely suits up, the Giants will have an extra weapon on the ground. But the Seahawks’ front seven actually excels at limiting gains on the ground outside the red zone. There’s no guarantee a half-healthy Barkley is able to shoulder the workload and deliver the results necessary to tear down that front-seven wall.
Any investment in the Giants needs to be an investment in their defense—or be a bet against the Seahawks’ early offensive performance. We’re not prepared to make either. New York currently ranks in the bottom three of points allowed per game, and we have now seen Seattle torch two unimpressive defenses for at least 30 points in consecutive weeks. The Seahawks may be underdogs, but this is an easy decision for us.
OSB Prediction: Seattle Seahawks (-590)
Be Prepared for Seattle to Take Over as Week 4 Favorites Against New York
Though the Giants are home-field favorites for now, we wouldn’t count on that lasting. You’ll see why when you look at the latest NFL point spread betting odds for New York vs. Seattle:
- New York Giants, -1.5 (-114)
- Seattle Seahawks, +1.5 (-106)
Spreads smaller than two points are always subject to complete reversal. If the Giants rule out Barkley before opening kickoff, this game is probably headed in that direction.
At the same time, as the odds show, the market has rushed to the Giants’ point spread. That’s pretty bizarre. The Seahawks are missing some key bodies on the front line, but quarterback Geno Smith has remained surgical. Not only is he completing nearly 69 percent of his passes; he’s thrown just one interception against 71 completions. It just so happens the Giants’ secondary ranks 27th in net yards allowed per passing attempt, too.
And so, we keep coming back to the same question: What are we missing? Are people concerned with D.K. Metcalf’s rib injury? Do they just not trust the Seahawks in any way, shape or form after they got waxed by the Los Angeles Rams in Week 1? None of this sits right with us. If we were handicapping this game, we’d be giving the Seahawks a 4.5-point advantage at the very least. Seattle has already thrown the NFC betting odds and standings for an early-season loop. Dismantling the Giants is next up on their list.
OSB Prediction: Seattle Seahawks, +1.5 (-106)
Just How Vulnerable is the Seahawks Defense?
Seattle has allowed at least 27 points in each of their first three games, suggesting a clear weakness. Their struggles have persisted even against weaker offenses. As the latest NFL over/under betting odds show, linemakers expect that higher-scoring trend to continue:
- Over 46.5 (-115)
- Under 46.5 (-105)
This line is asking an awful lot of the Giants. And we’re not sure they can hold up their end of the bargain. New York’s offense has essentially played one really good half so far. There are five other two-quarter stretches that scream “terrible, no-good, really bad!”
Then again, the Seahawks’ defense might just be that forgiving. They don’t generate pressure in droves, which means Daniel Jones will have time to make plays and scramble.
Failing that, if the Seahawks simply score at their current average clip, the Giants only need to total around 18 points for this “over” to clear.
OSB Prediction: Over 46.5 (-115)
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