Coming out of their bye week, the Miami Dolphins are playing host to the suddenly frisky Las Vegas Raiders, who have won two straight games after making a change at head coach. The AFC clash will kick off on Sunday, November 19, at 1 p.m. eastern standard time, at 1 p.m. eastern standard time, on the field at Hard Rock Stadium, in Miami Gardens, Florida.
Which team will leave the sunshine capital of the United States with a victory? That’s what we’re here to figure out. But first, here’s a look at the latest NFL online betting odds for Dolphins vs. Raiders:
Always remember to double-check these online NFL betting odds until you actually submit your wager. Our Dolphins vs. Raiders Week 11 betting odds are accurate entering Tuesday, November 14. That gives the best NFL online betting sites plenty of time to make adjustments leading into opening kick-off on Sunday afternoon.
While many will write off this matchup as a “W” for the AFC East-leading Dolphins, the Raiders have looked like a rejuvenated team since firing head coach Josh McDaniels and replacing him with Antonio Pierce. Their defense, in particular, has been on fire. They have allowed a combined 18 points over the past two weeks. But those outings came against the New York Jets and New York Giants, who field two of the worst offenses in the league. Has Las Vegas really turned a corner? Or will they just be fodder for a well-rested Miami team? Let’s get to some Raiders vs. Dolphins Week 11 predictions!
The Miami Dolphins Are Still Trying to Prove They’re a Legitimate Threat to Win It All
At one point, it looked like the Dolphins would be one of the best bets to win the Super Bowl this February. And technically speaking, they just might be. Miami is 9.5-to-1 to win Super Bowl XLIII at this writing. When you have the league’s top offense, with a trio of quarterback Tua Tagovailoa and wide receivers Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, you are a threat to beat any team.
However, entering Week 11, the Dolphins have yet to rattle off a trademark victory. All six of their wins come against opponents currently sitting under .500. Meanwhile, their three losses have come against bona fide contenders and favorites: the Buffalo Bills, Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles.
On the one hand, this suggests Miami might be more pretender than genuine Super Bowl hopeful favorite. Especially when their average margin of loss in these contests is 16-plus points. On the other hand, it says a lot about the Dolphins’ talent level that two of their three losses have come against the reigning Super Bowl champs (Kansas City) and the reigning NFC champs (Philadelphia).
Granted, this still doesn’t change that Miami lacks a trademark victory over an elite foe. But there is value in beating the teams you’re supposed to beat. And the Raiders, for all their improvement the past two weeks, are an opponent the Dolphins are supposed to beat. Working off a bye week, we would be categorically shocked if Miami finds a way to lose this one.
OSB Prediction: Miami Dolphins (-620)
Have the Las Vegas Raiders Turned a Corner Under New Head Coach Antonio Pierce?
Despite rattling off two straight victories, Las Vegas isn’t receiving much love from the Week 11 NFL point spread betting odds:
- Miami Dolphins, -11.5 (-110)
- Las Vegas Raiders, +11.5 (-110)
The recent play of the Raiders has us torn. The Dolphins have generally made mincemeat of the teams they’re supposed to outstrip. Even if you filter out their 50-point drubbing of the Denver Broncos from Week 3, their other five victories have come by an average of 11.8 points. What’s more, their past three wins have come by an average of 16.7 points.
Miami’s ability to score in bunches on downfield plays is problematic for every defense in existence. That includes the Raiders’ revamped attack. They’re coming off a stretch in which they didn’t need to rumble with many elite QBs. Tagovailoa will present a different talent.
Of course, Las Vegas’ defensive strength lies in the secondary. They are ninth in net yards surrendered per pass attempt and eighth in total passing touchdowns allowed.
That may not matter much against the Dolphins. If the passing game falters, they can lean on Raheem Mostert to get them by.
It’s also worth noting that they are a perfect 4-0 against the spread when playing at home, with all four of those wins coming by at least two touchdowns. Furthermore, the Raiders have historically struggled against East Coast teams. And a 10 a.m. pacific standard time kick-off could throw their internal clocks for a loop. Truth be told, we went into this thinking the Las Vegas defense could keep the game relatively close. After much consideration, we flipped 180 degrees.
OSB Prediction: Miami Dolphins, -11.5 (-110)
Will Dolphins vs. Raiders be a Slower-Paced Game Than Oddsmakers Expect?
Las Vegas has thrived on the back of their defense over the past two victories. But as the latest NFL over/under betting lines for Week 11 show, the Raiders will have their hands full trying to slow down the Dolphins:
- Over 47.5 (-115)
- Under 47.5 (-105)
Any game featuring Miami tends to have an aggressive point total. This is no different. We find ourselves wondering if it’s a touch too aggressive. Yes, with the exception of the Week 19 loss to Kansas City, all of the Dolphins’ games have spit out a point total of at least 41. And more than half of their games have hit 46 or more combined points.
Even so, the Raiders have started running the ball a lot more under head coach Antonio Pierce. That style lends itself to a measured pace and fewer possessions unless the defense can get stops. The Dolphins are not known for getting stops.
Then again, Miami’s rushing defense has actually been rather stout. They’re 11th in net yards allowed per attempt. They could stop Las Vegas’ preferred method of attack from the outset. Forcing Raiders quarterback Aidan O’Connell to beat them would be a win for the Dolphins. At the same time, their passing attack is vulnerable enough that even if they create a turnover or two, they could surrender just as many downfield throws. And on top of that, Miami still has one of the worst red zone defenses in the league.
Assuming Miami gives up 17 points here—which they’ve done in eight of their nine games—this feels like yet another “over” game.
OSB Prediction: Over 47.5 (-110)
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