After coming from behind to overtake the Buffalo Bills last week, the Minnesota Vikings surely won't enter their home-field matchup with the Dallas Cowboys in Week 11 as underdogs, right? Wrong!
This is exactly what all the best online NFL betting sites have done so far: billed the Vikings as underdogs in their own stadium. The decision has left many bewildered. Minnesota is 8-1 and ranks eighth in points scored per game. They have beaten the Bills. And the Green Bay Packers. And the Arizona Cardinals. And the Miami Dolphins. How are they not favorites, on their own turf, against a good-not-great Cowboys team?
Skeptics point to the schedule despite hallmark victories. The Packers were a bust to start the season, and Minnesota beat them in Week 1. The Dolphins didn't have Tua Tagovailoa. The Cardinals have underachieved on offense, quite frankly. And Bills quarterback Josh Allen was playing through a UCL injury during Buffalo's Week 11 loss to Minnesota, which the Vikings didn't even secure until the waning minutes.
That begs the question: Is this Minnesota team good or just lucky? Before we dig into the details, here are the latest NFL online betting odds for Vikings vs. Cowboys, courtesy of BetUS:
Important reminder: Keep rechecking these online NFL betting odds right up until you submit your wager. Our Vikings vs. Cowboys betting odds are accurate entering Tuesday, November 15. Since the game won't kick-off until Sunday, November 20, at 4:25 p.m. EST, the oddsmakers will have plenty of time to adjust their lines. Do your best to stay on top of any changes, because we have a feeling this game in particular will see a lot of shifts.
Speaking of which: Given how important accurate football betting odds are this time of year, we strongly suggest perusing our reviews of the top online sportsbooks. These deep-dive evaluations will help you find the best and most reliable NFL betting sites for the 2022 regular season, as well as Super Bowl futures.
With all of that said, it's time to cannonball into Vikings vs. Cowboys predictions. Who will win? Who will cover the point spread? And how will the over/under pan out? We believe that we have the answers.
Maybe the Minnesota Vikings are a Risky Bet, but We're Taking Them Over the Dallas Cowboys
Looking at their vitals, the Vikings are not the most elite team. Ranking eighth in offense and 14th in defense is fine, but it's not indicative of a team sitting at 8-1.
To that end, the schedule has probably helped Minnesota. That doesn't make them a paper tiger. Kirk Cousins and crew continue to manufacture miracles on the offensive side. Minnesota is fifth in passing touchdowns and has a handful of playmakers who are able to carve out plenty of extra yards after the catch. The defense may not have a calling card, but it is fairly stout against the run and ranks fifth in interceptions forced.
This doesn't bode too well for the Cowboys, in our opinion. Their passing attack has been on the fritz even with Dak Prescott under center, and there's only so much volume they can give to Ezekiel Elliot, who will have his work cut out for him against the Vikings' front seven.
It's also worth noting that Minnesota has yet to lose at home this season, and that they're averaging 28.5 points per game on their own turf. Dallas' defense is built to stop big-yardage passing plays, but that doesn't sway us, either. The Vikings feast on low-yardage throws, and even if they have issues gaining ground after the catch, they're more than capable of steadily moving the chains.
Minnesota actually opened as a heavier underdog than +106. People are catching on to what feels like a misfire. We'd recommend acting quickly so you can capitalize on the line, too.
OSB Prediction: Minnesota Vikings (+106)
If You Can't Bet the Vikings Moneyline, You might Want to Consider the Point Spread
Here are the latest NFL point spread betting odds for Vikings vs. Cowboys in Week 11:
- Dallas Cowboys, -1.5 (-118)
- Minnesota Vikings, +1.5 (-104)
With a point spread so small, we endorse just selecting who you think will win. Yet, with this in mind, the Vikings are no stranger to closely contested competitions.
Since Week 2, every single Minnesota game has been decided by a touchdown or less. Their last two games, meanwhile, were decided by a total of six points. So, if you don't have the stomach to pick them winning outright, rolling with them to cover the spread is far from the worst decision in the world.
OSB Prediction: Minnesota Vikings, +1.5 (-104)
The Over Seems Like the Best Bet for Minnesota vs. Dallas
Below you can see the latest NFL over/under betting odds for Cowboys vs. Vikings in Week 11:
- Over 47.5 (-110)
- Under 47.5 (-110)
Oddsmakers use previous game results—among other things—to churn out over/under lines. We believe this one is artificially low. The Cowboys offense didn't look the same while Dak Prescott missed time earlier this year, and we don't believe this takes into account how well the Vikings have scored in Minnesota.
Simplified even further: The Vikings have scored 24 or more points in every game since Week 3. And the Cowboys have topped 24 points over their past three games. This feels like an easy "over" bet in our books—especially when you come to find both teams are covering the over in more than 55 percent of their games.
OSB Prediction: Over 47.5 (-110)
Take a look at this list of the top online sportsbooks so you can decide which one to use for all of your 2022 NFL betting:
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