Will LSU upset favored Alabama in Death Valley?

What: NCAA Football Regular Season Game
When: November 9, 2024
Who: Alabama Crimson Tide vs. LSU Tigers
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
Where: Tiger Stadium (Baton Rouge, LA)

The latest chapter of the Alabama vs. LSU rivalry kicks off in Baton Rouge on Saturday night.

The victor of this SEC clash will take a significant step toward securing a spot in the College Football Playoff, while the team that falls short will probably need assistance, as both already have two losses.

A lively crowd is expected at Tiger Stadium, where LSU boasts a remarkable streak of 14 consecutive home victories.

Although the Crimson Tide hold an 8-2 advantage in their last ten encounters with the Tigers, they have struggled away from home this season with a 1-2 record.

There will be no shortage of Online college football betting as the college football season continues, and every game becomes a high-stakes chess match.

Game Preview (Alabama vs LSU)

Spread
Georgia -2.5	-120	-115	-110
Ole Miss +2.5	+100	-105	-110

Despite both teams having two losses, the Alabama Crimson Tide and LSU Tigers are still firmly in the playoff race and likely hold the keys to their own postseason fates, making this matchup crucial.

Quarterback Garrett Nussmeier has displayed remarkable confidence this season, although he struggled in two challenging away games.

In the first instance, the Tigers relied heavily on their rushing attack to outlast South Carolina.

However, against Texas A&M, the Aggies effectively shut down the run game, leading to one of the toughest halves of Nussmeier's career.

Game Week Central ➖ LSU https://t.co/cec0SUyBwn #RollTide pic.twitter.com/ng15SqQQ7o

— Alabama Football (@AlabamaFTBL) November 4, 2024

So, which iteration of the Tigers’ offense will take the field on Saturday?

If Nussmeier gets sufficient protection, he could exploit the weaknesses in Alabama's secondary.

LSU +3 Points Alabama vs LSU

-111

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Notably, the Crimson Tide ranks last in the SEC in expected points added per successful pass against, highlighting their tendency to allow explosive plays, which often result in significant yardage gains.

It feels like Alabama's defense has a critical misstep each week that allows opponents to score.

If they haven't fixed this during their second bye week, you can count on Nussmeier to hit a deep pass for a significant touchdown. The Tigers will also likely focus on a more balanced strategy this week.

I have serious concerns regarding the Crimson Tide's defense. While I respect their coaching staff and believe they will make some adjustments, I don't see them as a top-tier unit.

I don't feel comfortable laying the 3 points with Alabama on the road in this environment.

Alabama -3 Points Alabama vs LSU

-109

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Total Points

Total Points
Over 55	-105	-110	-105
Under 55	-115	-110	-115

Alabama's defense has the potential to improve, but the degree of that improvement remains uncertain.

The real question is whether the Crimson Tide offense can generate enough points to make this game a high-scoring showdown.

LSU has experienced its fair share of three-and-outs and halted drives, so the pressure may build up quickly if scoring is a must on every possession.

Can the Crimson Tide handle the #CFB25 Toughest Place to Play?@AlabamaFTBL 🤝 @LSUfootball pic.twitter.com/JBQeu7Iy5r

— EASPORTSCollege (@EASPORTSCollege) November 5, 2024

I'm leaning towards LSU, particularly with the advantage of playing at night in Death Valley. That environment could provide a significant boost for the Tigers.

The key question is, can Alabama rise to that challenge?

I'm anticipating an exciting matchup, but I have more confidence in Nussmeier executing a cleaner game than Milroe.

A single turnover could sway the outcome in a contest where every possession counts. I would back the underdogs in a shootout.

I predict LSU wins this one in a high-scoring game that knocks Alabama out of the College Football Playoff.

I would bet Over 58.5 points in this one at -110 odds.

Over 58.5 Points Alabama vs. LSU

-110

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