Does Notre Dame have the edge in first-round CFP game against Indiana?

Tony Reyes
By , Updated on: Dec 11, 2024 12:00 AM
Does Notre Dame have the edge in first-round CFP game against Indiana?
  • What: College Football Playoff Game
  • When: December 20, 2024
  • Who:  Indiana vs. Notre Dame
  • Time:  8:00 p.m. ET
  • Where: Notre Dame Stadium (South Bend, IN)

The stage is set for an electrifying first-round matchup in the College Football Playoff as the Indiana Hoosiers (11-1) take on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (11-1) at the iconic Notre Dame Stadium.

With a spread currently sitting at 7.5 points in favor of the Irish, the betting community is buzzing, and for good reason.

Let’s break down why Notre Dame is not just likely to win, but to cover that spread. 

There will be no shortage of Online college football betting as the college football season continues, and every game becomes a high-stakes chess match.

First off, let’s talk about the Irish’s recent form.

After a shocking loss to Northern Illinois earlier in the season, Notre Dame has been on a tear, winning ten straight games.

They've been averaging a staggering 47.2 points per game over their last five outings.

This offensive explosion has been fueled by the dynamic duo of senior quarterback Riley Leonard and running back Jeremiyah Love.

They have combined for over 3,000 yards and 33 touchdowns this season.

Leonard’s completion rate of 66.2% and Love’s 949 rushing yards make them a nightmare for opposing defenses. Indiana’s defense will have their hands full trying to contain this potent attack.

Game Preview (Indiana vs. Notre Dame)

SpreadBetOnlineBetUSBovada
Indiana +7.5 Points-110-110-115
Notre Dame -7.5 Points-110-110-105

On the flip side, Indiana has had a solid season, but their resume raises some eyebrows.

While they’ve racked up impressive numbers, their lack of a ranked win is concerning.

Their only game against a ranked opponent ended in a 38-15 blowout loss to Ohio State, which raises questions about their ability to compete at this level.

Sure, they’ve been scoring points, but can they keep pace with a Notre Dame team that has been dismantling opponents?

Indiana +7.5 Points Indiana vs. Notre Dame
Bovada
-110

The Hoosiers’ offense, while potent, has shown vulnerabilities, particularly in their run game, which ranks 114th in yards per successful rush.

Moreover, the home-field advantage cannot be overstated.

Notre Dame Stadium is notorious for its electric atmosphere. The Fighting Irish fans will be out in full force, creating a daunting environment for the Hoosiers.

The “Fighting Irish White Out” will add an extra layer of intimidation, making it difficult for Indiana to execute their game plan effectively.

In terms of betting trends, Notre Dame has been a solid cover team this season, especially at home.

They’ve consistently performed well against the spread, and with the stakes this high, you can bet they’ll be focused and ready to make a statement.

The Irish are not just looking to win; they want to send a message to the rest of the playoff field.

While Indiana has had a remarkable season, the combination of Notre Dame’s explosive offense, solid defense, home-field advantage, and the weather conditions all point towards a cover for the Irish.

Expect a chilly night in South Bend, and as the clock winds down, look for Notre Dame to win and cover that 7.5-point spread.

This could set the stage for a deeper playoff run.

Notre Dame -7.5 Points Indiana vs. Notre Dame
Bovada
-105

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Total Points (Hoosiers vs. Fighting Irish)

Weather conditions are also a crucial factor to consider.

Total PointsBetOnlineBetUSBovada
Over 50.5-110-110-105
Under 50.5-110-110-115

This could be a significant factor against a Notre Dame defense that has been stingy, allowing only 20 points or fewer in most of their games.

With temperatures expected to dip into the 30s and a chance of rain, the elements could play a significant role in this matchup.

Cold, wet conditions typically favor teams with a strong running game and a solid defense, both of which Notre Dame possesses.

The Irish’s ability to control the clock and dictate the pace of the game will be vital. Indiana could struggle to find their rhythm in the adverse weather.

Notre Dame's defense has given up a total of 1,666 rushing yards, averaging 138.8 yards per game. They've only allowed 11 rushing touchdowns this season.

In the passing game, they have allowed 10 touchdowns and 157.9 yards per game, placing them 3rd in Division 1. This season, the defense has recovered 11 fumbles and intercepted 17 passes.

They are allowing just 13.6 points per game, which is the 3rd best in the nation, culminating in a total of 163 points conceded throughout the season.

I would bet on Under 50.5 points in this matchup at -110 odds. 

Under 50.5 Points Indiana vs. Notre Dame
BetUS
-110

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Meet the author

Tony Reyes

With years of experience as an analyst, Tony brings an expert voice to picks and predictions. His passion for sports betting is evident in his coverage, which not only informs and entertains but also shares his love for the game. When he's not watching or covering t...

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