- When: Tuesday, April 30th at 7:00 PM ET
- Who:Ā Philadelphia 76ers at New York Knicks
- Where: Madison Square Garden in New York, NY
- What: NBA Eastern Conference Playoffs game 4
The New York Knicks aim to clinch their first-round series against the Philadelphia 76ers in Game 5 at Madison Square Garden.Ā
Currently leading 3-1 in the best-of-seven series, the Knicks seek consecutive second-round appearances for the first time since the 1990s.Ā
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Game Preview
Despite a Game 3 loss, they bounced back in Game 4 with a 97-92 victory, led by Jalen Brunson's record-setting 47 points.
The series has been closely contested, with three of the first four games decided by seven points or fewer.
While Tyrese Maxey has led the Sixers, Joel Embiid's struggles in the fourth quarter could be decisive.Ā
Despite Embiid's talent, his late lack of effectiveness in games may lead to the Knicks advancing to the second round in front of their home crowd.
It's been difficult defending the Sixers, but the betting market indicates they still have the best value in Game 5, even though it may result in another frustrating loss.Ā
The team's Game 4 performance was unacceptable, as they were beaten in almost every aspect of the game.
Their shooting percentages were low, their defense lacked intensity, and they were outrebounded and outhustled.Ā
Joel Embiid and Tyrese Maxey had a poor shooting day, and the referees' calls didn't help either.
Despite this, the Sixers still led by seven points in the third quarter but lost in the game's final moments.
The series could have been tied without the referees' call in Game 2.Ā
The Knicks' highest point total in a playoff game š„š„ pic.twitter.com/uQmWNlUMUo
ā NEW YORK KNICKS (@nyknicks) April 29, 2024
However, the Sixers are not likely to give up easily, and history shows that Game 5s in this spot are usually competitive.Ā
While the Sixers have made mistakes, they are still talented and can hang with the Knicks.
I'm confident they can win on the road, and I expect them to fight hard in the game.
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Total Points
The over/under line for Game 5 opened at 201.5 points, but with both teams likely to improve offensively, betting on the over seems favorable, even with the line moving to 204 points.
At home, the New York Knicks average 111.2 points per game, slightly lower than their 114.4 points per game on the road.Ā
They rank 10th in the NBA for three-pointers made per game at 13.2, with a shooting percentage of 36.9% from beyond the arc, placing them 13th in the league.Ā
The Sixers defense allows 46% of shots in the paint with Joel Embiid on the floor, which increases to 64% with Paul Reed at center. The Knicks are attacking at will when Embiid is out of the game. pic.twitter.com/pzZvDVfKs5
ā Kevin O'Connor (@KevinOConnorNBA) April 29, 2024
Defensively, they allow opponents to make 12.5 three-pointers per game, ranking 10th, with a 36.5% shooting percentage against them, placing them 16th in the league.
Meanwhile, the Philadelphia 76ers score 1.8 more points per game at home (115.5) than away (113.7) in the 2023-24 season.Ā
They rank 22nd in the league for three-pointers made per game at 12.1, with an average shooting percentage of 36.3% from downtown, placing them 18th.Ā
Defensively, they give up 11.9 three-pointers per game and allow opponents to shoot 35.4% from beyond the arc, ranking sixth and sixth, respectively, in the NBA.
This game feels like a bounce back game from both offenses. I don't expect the Sixers to struggle scoring as much late as they did in game 4.
I would bet Over 204 Points in this one at -110 odds at BetUS.
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