Thunder Favored At Home Over Mavericks In Tuesday NBA Picks

Bob Duff
By , Updated on: Dec 10, 2024 12:00 AM
NBA Picks
  • What: NBA Picks
  • Who: Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder
  • When: Tuesday, December 10, 9:30 p.m.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been a dominant force in the NBA this season, though you'll have a tough time convincing the Dallas Mavericks of that fact. Dallas has won three in a row over Oklahoma City. The Mavs handed the Thunder a 121-119 setback on Nov. 13 at Oklahoma City.

As these two clubs meet in the NBA Cup quarter-finals, looking to Tuesday's NBA picks, oddsmakers are leaning toward the Thunder to be ending that Dallas run of success against them. It's the Thunder who are set as the 4.5-point home chalk.

Let's look at the latest betting lines. Odds are subject to change.

BetOnlineSpreadMoneylineTotal
Dallas Mavericks+4.5 (-110)+160O 229.5 (-110)
Oklahoma City Thunder-4.5 (-110)-180U 229.5 (-110)

The Thunder are currently leading in the NBA's Western Conference with an 18-5 record. Dallas is fourth in the West at 16-8. This NBA Cup showdown is one of only two games on the ledger for Tuesday's NBA slate. We'll be looking at this Mavericks vs Thunder contest as one of the best bets among the day's NBA betting picks.

Boost Your NBA Picks

While getting your action down on this Dallas at Oklahoma City NBA Cup contest, remember that you'll want to be perusing the latest NBA odds to ensure you are getting the best bets available. There are any number of leading online sports betting sites that will service your needs in the NBA betting picks. And if you're new to the world of online sports betting, don't fret about being in over your head. There are plenty of how-to tips that you can check out in our handy sports betting guide.

Mavericks vs Thunder Betting Trends

The Mavericks are carrying a hot hand into this game and this matchup. Dallas is 6-1 against the spread over the last seven games. The Mavericks are also 5-0 straight up in their last five road games and 7-0 SU in their last seven in all games.

Against the Thunder, Dallas is 4-2 ATS in the last six games and 4-2 ATS in the last six games played at Oklahoma City. Dallas is 5-1 SU in the last six meetings with Oklahoma City. The Mavs are also 7-0 ATS in their last seven games against teams from the Western Conference and 12-3 SU in their past 15 meetings with Northwest Division opposition.

The Thunder are 7-1 SU in the past eight games. Oklahoma City is also 5-1 SU in the last six home games. The Thunder are 6-1 SU in the last seven games against teams from the Western Conference.

The NBA picks are showing the over has hit in nine of the last 11 games played by Dallas. In head-to-head meetings between Dallas and Oklahoma City, the over has proven to be the winning play 10 out of 15 games. Four of Oklahoma City's last six games against Southwest Division opposition have also gone over.

Oklahoma City is 17-5 SU as a betting favorite. The Thunder are 6-5 ATS on home court. Dallas is 7-5-1 ATS as a road team. The Mavericks are 5-3 SU as the underdog in the betting line.

How Will Thunder Size Up Against Dallas?

Losing in six games to Dallas in last year's playoffs, critics of the Thunder were noticing that Oklahoma City didn't deal well with the length the Mavericks could put on the floor in the form of Daniel Gafford and Dereck Lively.

The offseason addition of 7-foot, 250-pound Isaiah Hartenstein was supposed to solve that dilemma. However, Hartenstein was hurt early in the season and missed the Nov. 13 loss to Dallas.

He's back now and since they've added Hartenstein to the lineup, Oklahoma City is 7-1 SU. In those eight games, Hartenstein is averaging 11.8 points, 12.8 rebounds, 4.5 assists and 1.3 blocks per game.

It's not an entirely perfect matchup, however. Chet Holmgren, Oklahoma City's other big man, is out with a hip injury.

Mavericks Shorthanded For Matchup With Thunder

Dallas was without its best player for that Nov. 13 win over Oklahoma City. Guard Luka Doncic didn't play.

He's back for this tilt, but an illness that's working its way through the team is leaving the Mavericks short-staffed for this game. Small forwards P.J. Washington and Naji Marshall are listed as questionable.

Power forward Maxi Kleber is out with the same illness. Point guard Jaden Hardy (right ankle sprain) will miss his first game of the season.

Dallas vs Oklahoma City NBA Picks

This is certainly an intriguing matchup. Dallas has won seven in a row and 11 of the last 12 games. Oklahoma City has won seven of the past 10 games. The Thunder have covered in three straight and four of the last five. Dallas has covered in eight of the last 10 games.

Dallas Mavericks To cover (+4.5) against Oklahoma City Thunder
BetOnline
-110

It's difficult to look past the success Dallas has enjoyed against the Thunder. The Mavericks have had Oklahoma City's number and that has continued into this season. Until that changes, stick with what works. Take Dallas to cover as a +4.5 road underdog in the Tuesday NBA picks.

Meet the author

Bob Duff

An online journalist working in the sports betting and casino gambling industry since 2016, Bob Duff has covered such major sports and events as the NFL, NBA, MLB, UFC, NHL, Olympic Games and UEFA Champions League soccer. He’s been considered an expert source for bett...

Online Sports Betting may receive compensation if you sign up through our links. Rest assured, we avoid biases and provide honest opinions on sportsbooks. Read our affiliate disclosure here.