Warriors to wax Heat in Jimmy Butler's return to Miami

Steve Starr
By , Updated on: Mar 24, 2025 12:00 AM
Heat vs Warriors picks
  • What: NBA Picks
  • Who: Golden State Warriors at Miami Heat
  • When: Tuesday, March 25, 7:30 p.m.

Jimmy Butler will return to Miami on Tuesday night to face his former team for the first time. The 35-year-old made the NBA Finals twice with the Heat during an incredibly successful five year-run before requesting a trade earlier this year.

Golden State (41-30) is 16-4 with Butler in the lineup while Miami (30-41) just snapped a 10-game losing streak.

Let's look at the latest betting lines for the game. Odds are subject to change.

BetOnlineSpreadMoney LineTotal Points
Golden State Warriors-4.5 (-110)-188Un 217.5 (110)
Miami Heat+4.5 (-110)+158Ov 217.5 (-110)

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Heat vs Warriors Betting Trends

Miami is a 4.5-point home underdog at the Kaseya Center, where they have a 16-19 record this season. The Heat are 7-6 as home underdogs, but just 11-16 against out-of-conference opponents.

Even after suffering through a 10-game losing streak, Erik Spoelstra's club is in 10th place in the Eastern Conference, six games ahead of the Raptors for the final Play-In tournament spot.

Golden State is 8-2 in its last 10 games, and 19-10 versus Eastern Conference opponents. The Warriors are 6th in the West, just 2.5 games back of the Los Angeles Lakers for 4th-place. Steve Kerr's club is 18-15-1 against the spread on the road, and 9-9-1 as an away favorite.

The over/under for Tuesday's game is set at 217.5 points. The OVER is hitting in 60% (21-14) of Miami home games this season, and is 17-17 when the Warriors are on the road.

Jimmy's instant impact

Golden State was 25-26 before acquiring Jimmy Butler at the deadline. They are 16-4 since. Butler has scored over 20 points in three of his last four outings, and registered a triple-double over the Raptors last week.

Meanwhile, the Heat just snapped a 10-game losing streak on Sunday with  a 122-105 victory against the Hornets. Andrew Wiggins, who went the other way in the Butler deal, registered a game-high 42 points.

Butler said recently, “There are no hard feelings. I'm in a better place now for me.” His teams have gone 1-2 in his return games throughout his career.

Will Steph Curry play?

Stephen Curry (pelvis) is listed as questionable for Tuesday's game against Miami after missing Saturday's 124-115 loss to the Atlanta Hawks. However, the future Hall-of-Famer traveled with the team to Florida and practiced on Monday.

Warriors coach Steve Kerr said on Monday, "No doubt he wants to be there for Jimmy, too. And it’s one of the things I love about Steph. He’s always there for his guys.”

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors NBA Picks

With Steph Curry looking likely to play and Jimmy Butler sure to be plenty motivated against his former club, expect the Warriors to wax the Heat on their home court on Tuesday night. We'll take Golden State to cover (-4.5) on the road with the OVER (217.5).

Golden State Warriors To cover vs Miami Heat
Bovada
-4.5

Meet the author

Steve Starr

Accomplished Sports Betting Specialist with over two decades of experience in sports analytics, strategic betting formulation, and risk management, with a particular focus on professional sports such as the NFL, NBA, and NHL. Proven success in applying statistical mo...

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