- When: Tuesday, April 11 at 8:05 PM ET
- Who: Royals at Rangers
- Starting Pitchers: Jordan Lyles and Jacob deGrom
- Where: Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas
Jacob DeGrom takes the mound as an overwhelming favorite Tuesday evening. He seems to have settled back into a pitching groove as he's tied for fourth with 18 strikeouts this season.
Jacob deGrom has a big outing in Texas! pic.twitter.com/5KNpuAx8Rb
— MLB (@MLB) April 5, 2023
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DeGrom was the big-name acquisition for the Rangers this offseason. He's delivered for them and is favored to do so again Tuesday. The Royals have struggled to start the season with just 3 wins this season.
Jordan Lyles will be taking the mound for the Royals. He will be looking for his first win of the season. He's hoping to bounce back off a loss to the Blue Jays in which he allowed 5 earned runs.
A really weird outing for Lyles
5.2 IP | 8 H | 5 ER | 0 BB | 9 K | 106 PC pic.twitter.com/kcfKziJXEn
— Royals Daily (@RoyalsDaily_) April 6, 2023
Money Line
The Rangers are priced as -260 favorites, indicating oddsmakers believe the Rangers should win with ease.
| Money Line |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
| Royals | +220 | +233 | +220 |
| Rangers | -270 | -260 | -270 |
Although I agree and believe the Rangers will win, this is not a good price to back the Rangers on at all.
If you are interested in backing the underdog Royals at +233, it would be a much more enticing bet.
I can't recommend betting on either one of these teams on the money line.
I don't like the odds for either team here, let's see what other opportunities there are to bet on in this game.
Pitching Props
When talking about pitching props, we have to discuss Jacob deGrom. DeGrom has an outrageous 10.7 K's/9 for his career. He had 11 strikeouts in his last outing, a victory against the Orioles.
| Strikeouts | | | |
|---|---|---|---|
| deGrom O 8.5 | -105 | -105 | -110 |
| deGrom U 8.5 | -115 | -115 | -110 |
I enjoy betting pitcher strikeouts because it allows me to focus on the pitching more than I usually would.
It certainly looks like deGrom's pitching is as difficult as ever for major league hitters.
Jacob deGrom, 4 Consecutive Ks...all with Sliders. 🐐 pic.twitter.com/33gzSQZOW0
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) April 5, 2023
The Royals strike out an average of 9 times a game already. This has all the makings of a dominant pitching performance from Jacob deGrom.
I would recommend betting over 8.5 strikeouts for Jacob deGrom in this game.
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Total Runs
One would figure the total would be set with a low number due to the pitching prowess of deGrom. The current total is 8 runs, which feels way too high.
| Total Runs | | | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8 Runs | -105 | -105 | -120 |
| Under 8 Runs | -115 | -115 | -110 |
Even with all the new rules changes emphasizing offense, the Royals' offense struggles to score runs. They have scored the third-fewest runs (29) in baseball this season and they also strike out an average of 9 times a game.
After researching the struggles the Royals offense has displayed this season, their underdog money line price of +233 is beginning to make more and more sense.
The Rangers have the better defense and pitching in this game, and it feels like the Royals will have issues scoring runs.
I would have to recommend betting on the under in this game.
Best Bet
The Rangers spent big for Jacob deGrom and the early results are paying off. I would recommend betting on deGrom's strikeouts for this game.
The best bet for this game is the over on Jacob deGrom's strikeouts.
Make sure to check our top sportsbook reviews for the best odds on your favorite MLB prop bets before placing your bets.
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