- When: Thursday, May 23rd at 12:35 PM ET
- Who: Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees
- Starting Pitchers: Luis Gil and Luis Castillo
- Where: Yankees Stadium in New York, NY
The Mariners are heading to New York to face the Yankees!
Both teams are performing well, with the Mariners playing solid baseball and the Yankees climbing to the top of the AL on a recent hot streak.
Despite the Yankees' strong form, the Mariners have taken the first two games of this three-game series.
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Game Preview
Our MLB odds series provides a Mariners-Yankees prediction for Thursday's game.
The Mariners have been impressive recently, holding a 27-22 record. While their offense has struggled, their pitching staff ranks among the top 10 in MLB.
Julio Rodriguez, Cal Raleigh, Mitch Haniger, Jorge Polanco, Ty France, and Mitch Garver are key offensive players.
On the mound, Luis Castillo, Logan Gilbert, and Bryce Miller have shown varying levels of excellence.
This matchup against the Yankees, who boast offensive and defensive talent, is intriguing.
Despite the Yankees' strength, the Mariners have secured two straight wins to start this series.
Dub. #RepBX pic.twitter.com/7rucAG3r0w
— New York Yankees (@Yankees) May 23, 2024
With a 33-17 record, the Yankees snapped their seven-game winning streak by losing the first two games of this series. They still hold the best record in the AL.
Their offense and pitching have been stellar, with standout players like Juan Soto, Anthony Rizzo, Aaron Judge, and Anthony Volpe leading the way.
Nestor Cortes, Marcus Stroman, Clarke Schmidt, Luis Gil, and Carlos Rodon have all been effective on the mound.
The Yankees need to bounce back in this series, especially against a Mariners team that has found success so far.
Luis Castillo will start for the Mariners with a 4-5 record, a 3.28 ERA, and a 1.14 WHIP. In his last outing, he allowed two runs on four hits over six innings, contributing to a Mariners win.
Castillo has been reliable on the mound, facing a challenging matchup against the Yankees' potent offense.
Offensively, the Mariners have struggled with consistency, ranking 24th in batting average at .229.
Key players like Julio Rodriguez and Cal Raleigh have led in various categories, but the team faces a tough challenge against Luis Gil.
Gil has been excellent this season with a 5-1 record, a 2.39 ERA, and a 1.08 WHIP. In his last start, he allowed just one run over six innings, striking out 14.
The Yankees' offense is a major strength, ranking fifth in MLB with a .256 team batting average.
Their improved performance from last season's .227 average has been significant, with contributions from 13 different players hitting home runs.
Juan Soto and Aaron Judge have been key, with Soto leading in batting average, RBIs, OBP, and total hits, while Judge leads in home runs.
This matchup between Castillo and Gil is set to be a pitching duel.
While both pitchers have been strong, Castillo's ability to contain the Yankees' offense might give the Mariners an edge.
Based on their recent performances, the Mariners have succeeded in this series so far and could win this game.
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Total Runs
Let's take a look at the total runs market in this one.
Both starting pitchers have been outstanding in traditional stats and advanced metrics. Additionally, both bullpens rank in the top 10 in the league for ERA and FIP.
The key difference lies in the lineups. Seattle’s offense has struggled significantly, while New York’s has been exceptional.
Dingers, Drive-Ins and Dives… Dom’s been doing it all this series 👏 pic.twitter.com/wkQotDi5qo
— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) May 22, 2024
The Yankees' potent lineup is the main reason the total is set at 7.5 runs.
However, it's worth noting that they have a poor track record against Castillo. I'm comfortable betting Under 7.5 Runs in this one at plus money.
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