Aberg Favored, Two-Time Champ Conners Hot In Valero Texas Open Picks

Bob Duff
By , Updated on: Apr 1, 2025 12:00 AM
Valero Texas Open
  • What: 2025 Valero Texas Open
  • When: April 3rd-6th
  • Where: TPC San Antonio

The Valero Texas Open is the last stop on the PGA Tour prior to the first major of the season, The Masters. That being the case, there's always a deep field in the hunt, which tends to create solid PGA Tour odds for golf bettors.

Swedish star Ludvig Aberg is set as the +1200 favorite in the opening line for this tournament.

The Valero Texas Open is a 72-hole event held at TPC San Antonio. Contested since 1922, this tournament is the third-oldest continuous non-major event on the PGA Tour schedule. Only the BMW Championship/Western Open (1899) and Canadian Open (1904) are older.

Before we get into the odds and predictions for this event, make sure to take a look at our top golf betting sites. And don't forget to check in regularly with the golf betting odds to assure you're staying on top of the latest line movement for this week's PGA Tour stop. Odds are always subject to change.

PGA Tour Valero Texas Open OddsBovadaBetOnlineBetUS
Ludvig Aberg+1200+1200+1000
Tommy Fleetwood+1400+1600+1400
Corey Conners+1600+1400+1600
Hideki Matsuyama+1800+2200+1800
Patrick Cantlay+2000+1600+1800
Jordan Spieth+2200+2000+2200
Akshay Bhatia+2200+2000+2200
Keegan Bradley+2500+2000+2200
Daniel Berger+2500+2800+2800
Denny McCarthy+2800+2800+2800
Keith Mitchell+3500+4500+3500
Si Woo Kim+3500+3500+3500
Tony Finau+3500+4000+3450

Other best bets to consider in the PGA Tour odds include Corey Conners (+1600). He's a two-time winner of this event. Also top contenders are Tommy Fleetwood at +1400 and Hideki Matsuyama at +1800. You can acccess a betting line of +2200 on defending champion Ashkay Bhatia.

There are any number of ways to get a bet down on PGA Tour events. Among the most popular methods is via your mobile device. If you are someone who lives life on the go, check out the best mobile sports betting apps for ensuring you can always make a wager whenever you desire.

Texas Open Best Bets

When handicapping the Valero Texas Open, returning players and non-winners on the PGA Tour tend to be sharp bets. Each of the past 10 winners of this tournament not only had played in this event previously, they'd all made the cut here at least once. And four of the past seven Texas Open champions were first-time winners on the PGA Tour.

Let's have a look at the top contenders in the Valero Texas Open golf picks for this year's tournament.

Ludvig Aberg (+1200)

The Swede already has a win this season in The Genesis Invitational. He hasn't played as well lately, missing the cut at The Players Championship.

However, as last year's runner-up, Aberg figures to be one of the top contenders next week at Augusta. He'll be seeking to go into The Masters on a high note.

Tommy Fleetwood (+1400)

Englishman Fleetwood has never won on the PGA Tour. He's been a runner-up five times, though.

Based upon the recent history of non-winners winning the Valero Texas Open, that fact alone makes him intriguing. Fleetwood has cracked the top-20 in each of his past four tournaments.

Corey Conners (+1600)

The Canadian player absolutely thrives on the TPC San Antonio layout. He won here as a qualifier in 2019 and again in 2023.

He's also hot right now. Conners has finished in the top eight in each of his past three events.

Ashkay Bhatia (+2200)

The defending champ beat Denny McCarthy in a playoff to win last year's Valero Open. Bhatia shot in the 60s in three of his four rounds last year.

He was tied for third at The Players Championship. Bhatia also has posted top-10 performances at the Mexico Championship and Genesis Invitational.

Valero Open Longshots To Consider

Charley Hoffman (+8000) has loved many of his past experiences here. He won the Texas Open in 2016. Hoffman finished second in this tourney in 2011, 2019 and 2021.

Jordan Spieth (+2200) was the 2021 winner of the Valero Open. He wound up second in 2015. Runner-up in 2001 and 2022, Matt Kuchar (+9000) has finished tied for 12th or better in four of the last five Texas Opens.

Tom Hoge (+8000) doesn't play this tournament often, but always seems to play it well. He was T-12 in his last appearance in 2021. Hoge has two other top-10 finishes since 2016.

Texas Open Prop Bets

At BetUS, Aberg is the +2200 favorite to be the first-round leader. Patrick Cantlay hasn't won on the PGA Tour since 2022. However, he's played well lately and might be a good play at +450 to finish among the top five.

Several players need a win here to qualify for a spot in The Masters. One of them is tour veteran Rickie Fowler. While it might not be wise to bet Fowler to win, at +550 to finish in the top 10 he's delivering value. Or if you want to play it a little bit safer, Fowler is +240 to wind up among the top-20 finishers.

The Valero Texas Open Pick

Even when he isn't winning here, Conners is still tearing up TPC San Antonio. Since 2017, the Canadian player rates first among PGA Tour players in strokes gained over this layout.

Corey Conners To win Valero Texas Open
Bovada
+1600

He’s gained more than +6.0 strokes ball-striking on this course in four of the past five tournaments. Go with Conners as the best bet in the Valero Texas Open picks.

Meet the author

Bob Duff

An online journalist working in the sports betting and casino gambling industry since 2016, Bob Duff has covered such major sports and events as the NFL, NBA, MLB, UFC, NHL, Olympic Games and UEFA Champions League soccer. He’s been considered an expert source for bett...

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