Back Saul Alvarez to defend his titles against Edgar Berlanga with a late stoppage

Saul 'Canelo' Alvarez is the headline act when he takes on Edgar Berlanga on the weekend of Mexican Independence Day. Alvarez is the favorite, but Berlanga is undefeated and will be hungry to claim the biggest win of his career. In our latest boxing betting picks we tell you who will come out on top in the big fight.

Who: Saul ‘Canelo’ Alvarez vs. Edgar Berlanga
Where: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada
When: Saturday, September 14th, 2024
Ring Walks: 11 pm ET

Saul Alvarez is putting his WBC, WBA, and WBO super middleweight world titles on the line against Edgar Berlanga. The fight is two days ahead of Mexican Independence Day, meaning the undisputed champion will be more determined than ever to hold onto his belts.

In what promises to be a spectacular night of action in Nevada, WBA middleweight world champion Erislandy Lara will also defend his belt against the never-boring Danny Garcia.

Lara vs. Garcia is the co-main event. But even given the high quality of that fight, it will have to be some scrap to take the limelight away from Mexico’s national treasure Alvarez, on the weekend of his country’s independence celebrations.

Saul Alvarez vs. Edgar Berlanga Betting Odds

It's no huge shock that Saul Alvarez is the favorite to win on the money line.

To defend his titles, the best boxing betting sites make Alvarez their -1600 favorite. To cause a massive shock, Edgar Berlanga is +750.

In the total rounds betting, the spread is 8.5 rounds. Both under and over is -115.

Onto the props betting, and this is where the better value bets are to be found.

Canelo Alvarez is -300 to win by KO/TKO/DQ and +250 to win on points.

Edgar Berlanga is +1800 to win on points, and +2500 to win by KO/TKO/DQ.

A draw is +2500. The fight is +260 to go the distance, and -380 to end early.

In round group betting, either fighter to win in rounds 1-3 is +800, for the fight to end in rounds 4-6 the odds is +330, to finish in rounds 7-9 is +240, and to finish in the championship rounds of 10-12, you can get +330.

More boxing betting odds are available on our Saul Alvarez vs. Edgar Berlanga odds table. For our prices, we have only used the best betting sites for wagering on boxing.

You can read more about the sites on our best Boxing Betting Online Apps page.

Saul Alvarez vs. Edgar Berlanga
Saul Alvarez	-1600	-1600	-1600
Edgar Berlanga	+750	+750	+750

Over 8.5 Rounds	-115	-115	-115
Under 8.5 Rounds	-115	-115	-115

Saul Alvarez Career Breakdown

Saul Alvarez has a professional career record of 61-2-2.

Despite being around for what feels like ever, the Mexican is still only 34 years of age.

Of his 61 wins, 39 have come by KO. Both his defeats have come by decision, and he also has two draws on his fight resume.

In his most recent contest, Canelo defeated Jaime Munguia by unanimous decision in May. The win was Canelo’s fourth straight unanimous points decision, and his fourth successive win since he lost to Dmitry Bivol, also on points, back in May 2022.

The last time an Alvarez fight didn’t go the distance was in November 2021, when he stopped Caleb Plant in the 11th round with a TKO win.

Saul Alvarez To beat Berlanga

-1600

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Edgar Berlanga Career Breakdown

Edgar Berlanga has a pro-fight record of 22-0.

The 27-year-old American has won 17 of his 22 fights by knockout with five wins coming via the scorecards.

Despite being unbeaten, there are no major scalps on Berlanga’s fight resume.

His most recent win came over Padraig McCrory in February. Berlanga defeated the 36-year-old Irishman by TKO in the 6th round of their fight.

Edgar Berlanga To beat Alvarez

+750

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Saul Alvarez vs. Edgar Berlanga Betting Picks and Predictions

Both boxers fight from an orthodox stance. But that’s pretty much where the similarities end.

Canelo’s fight record is on a planet different from Berlanga. The Mexican has been in the ring with some of the world’s best, and Berlanga has no big fight experience that could begin to match that.

One area of advantage that the American has is in his size. At 185 cm, Berlanga is 12 cm taller than the 173 cm Canelo. The American also has a 6 cm reach advantage over his legendary opponent.

But that’s surely not going to be enough to prevent a win for Canelo.

Saul Alvarez To beat Edgar Berlanga

-1600

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If -1600 on a win for Canelo Alvarez is too short, then we have other options for our picks.

First up, it's been a long time since Canelo won a fight inside the distance. So is a bet on Canelo to win on points at +250 worth the risk? It’s worth considering.

We feel that it won't go the distance, that the Mexican will be fired up, and looking to finish the job early.

The fight to end between rounds 7-12 is +100. We say that is the best value bet and it is our Canelo vs. Berlanga betting pick.

Alvarez vs. Berlanga Fight to end in Rounds 7-12

+100

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Make sure you check out our top-rated sportsbooks below. These are our recommended Boxing betting partners that you can read more about on our best sportsbook reviews 2024 page: