Naoya Inoue will face Sam Goodman in Tokyo on Christmas Eve. Inoue is a strong betting favorite at -2500. His super-bantamweight world titles will be on the line when the two clash. Below, we tell you if he will win when we name our boxing betting picks.
- Who: Naoya Inoue vs. Sam Goodman
- What: Undisputed Super Bantamweight Title - 12 Rounds
- Where: Ariake Arena, Tokyo, Japan.
- When: Tuesday, December 24th, 2024
- Ring Walks: 4 am onwards ET
Naoya Inoue is defending his undisputed super-bantamweight titles against Australia’s Sam Goodman in Tokyo on December 24th. The Christmas showdown will be Naoya Inoue’s third title defense in a calendar year.
Unbeaten Naoya Inoue is regarded as one of the best pound-for-pound fighters in the world. The 31-year-old Japanese has a fight record of 28-0, with 25 of his wins coming by stoppage.
Inoue’s latest opponent, Sam Goodman, is a 26-year-old Australian from New South Wales. Goodman is also undefeated, with a professional fight record of 19-0. Goodman has won 11 of his fights by decision and eight by knockout.
When Goodman enters the ring in the Ariake Arena on Christmas Eve, it will be the first time in his career that he will be fighting outside of his native Australia.
Naoya Inoue vs. Sam Goodman betting odds
Naoya Inoue is the heavy odds-on favorite to win the fight. Inoue is -2500 on the money line, Sam Goodman is +900 to cause a sensational shock.
In the total rounds betting, the favorite is under 7.5 rounds at -130, with over 7.5 at +100.
Moving onto the props, and in the method of victory betting, a knockout victory for Inoue is the -600 betting favorite. The full odds are:
- Naoya Inoue to win by KO/TKO/DQ -600
- Naoya Inoue to win by decision +600
- Sam Goodman to win by KO/TKO/DQ +1400
- Sam Goodman to win by decision +2500
- Draw +2500
There are also plenty of betting options available on when the fight will end. The latest boxing betting odds on two of the markets are below:
- Fight to end in Rounds 1-3 +500
- Fight to end in Rounds 4-6 +225
- Fight to end in Rounds 7-9 +200
- Fight to end in Rounds 10-12 +350
- Fight to go the distance +550
Alternative Rounds betting
- Either winner Rounds 1-6 +140
- Either winner Rounds 7-12 -105
- Fight to go the distance +550
For all our Naoya Inoue vs. Sam Goodman odds, we have only used the best betting sites for wagering on boxing. You can read more about them on our Boxing Betting Online Apps 2024 page.
| Inoue vs. Goodman |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
| Naoya Inoue | -2500 | -2500 | -2500 |
| Sam Goodman | +900 | +900 | +900 |
| Over 7.5 Rounds | +100 | +100 | +100 |
| Under 7.5 Rounds | -130 | -130 | -130 |
Naoya Inoue
When Naoya Inoue takes on Sam Goodman it will not only be his third fight in a calendar year, but his fourth in the past 13 months.
Starting in December 2023, Inoue defeated Marlon Tapales in this same arena with a 10th-round KO.
Inoue then defended his titles against Luis Nery in May, and TJ Doheny in September.
The win over Nery came via a 6th-round knockout. Sam Goodman traveled from Australia to watch the fight and attempt to secure his own shot at Inoue’s titles.
You're watching a master at work 👑🇯🇵 @NaoyaInoue_410 | #InoueNery pic.twitter.com/FpyNPxTtcI
— Top Rank Boxing (@trboxing) May 6, 2024
Inoue then stopped TJ Doheny by TKO in his most recent defense. A series of body shots was too much for the Irishman to handle, and the referee waved the fight off with Doheny down on one knee after just 16 seconds of the 7th round.
Inoue fights out of an orthodox stance. He is one of the most technically assured fighters in the world.
Also known as ‘The Monster’, Inoue possesses exceptional punching power. He boasts a career knockout-to-win percentage of 89.28 percent. In world title fights it increases to 91.30 percent.
Sam Goodman
Sam Goodman turned professional in 2018. A 2nd-round stoppage of Worawatchai Boonjan gave the Aussie his first win.
Goodman defeated Nort Beauchamp for the vacant Australian featherweight title in June 2021. That was his third fight as a professional.
He has been in the ring twice this year, defeating Mark Schleibs by TKO in March, and he beat Chainoi Worawut by unanimous decision in his most recent contest in July.
Goodman fights out of an orthodox stance. He is a durable boxer but has no real knockout punch. His eight stoppage wins were all TKO's.
Naoya Inoue vs. Sam Goodman Betting Picks and Predictions
The last time Naoya Inoue was taken to 12 rounds was in 2019. Nonito Donaire was the man to achieve it, but he lost the fight by unanimous decision. Inoue and Donaire rematched in 2022, with the former, ending the contest by TKO in the 2nd round.
Inoue’s win over Donaire was one of nine successive stoppage victories. And we only see him making it ten when he fights Sam Goodman. Therefore, the only bet to make is when the fight ends.
Six of Inoue’s last nine stoppage wins came in the second half of the fight. Sam Goodman has gone the distance in 11 of his 19 wins, and we think he can survive until the second half of this fight.
The fight to end in rounds 7-12 is our betting pick.
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