NFL MVP Odds 2024/25
The 2024/25 NFL MVP winner is a burning question in the mind of everyone â fans, players, and bettors alike. This article is for the latter crowd because weâve whipped up a complete guide to bet on NFL MVP award. Everything you possibly need to know is detailed right here so stay with us for money-making advice.
2024/25 NFL MVP Odds
First things first, what are the NFL MVP odds anyway? Look, these change every week (which weâll explain later in this article). However, for your ultimate convenience, we want to list the NFL MVP betting odds as it is mid-season. Depending on when you read this guide, things have likely changed but hereâs where we have it:
Odds to Win the NFL MVP | |||
---|---|---|---|
Patrick Mahomes | +475 | +500 | +475 |
Josh Allen | +900 | +850 | +850 |
C.J. Stroud | +850 | +900 | +850 |
Joe Burrow | +900 | +900 | +900 |
Jordan Love | +1400 | +1400 | +1400 |
Jalen Hurts | +1400 | +1400 | +1400 |
Aaron Rodgers | +1600 | +1600 | +1600 |
Youâll see all the usual names in the MVP NFL race. Patrick Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) will be a NFL MVP front runner for as long as heâs in his prime most likely. Heâs one of the most physically gifted quarterbacks weâve ever seen and that wonât just go away so get used to Mahomes name in the mix here.
Joe Burrow (Cincinnati Bengals) and Josh Allen (Buffalo Bills) will likely be consistent NFL MVP candidates. Weâll stop short of putting them in Mahomes territory, but both certainly have elite-playing ability. The trio of throwers are all young too so thereâs still some upside left in their talents.
Thereâs also a crop of new passers getting close to elite status. Names that come to mind are Justin Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers) Jalen Hurts (Philadelphia Eagles), Trevor Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) Brock Purdy (San Francisco 49ers), Tua Tagovailoa (Miami Dolphins), and CJ Stroud (Houston Texans), among others. These are names to look out for because theyâre ascending quickly up the MVP NFL ladder and quarterback rankings.
Lastly, donât forget about active players who are MVP winners already. That includes Lamar Jackson (Baltimore Ravens) and Aaron Rodgers (Jets). Repeat champions, especially at the QB position, are more common than you probably think.
How To Understand NFL MVP Odds?
Alright, letâs talk about MVP NFL odds in general. What the heck do these numbers even mean? We understand why current NFL MVP odds could seem confusing, but theyâre really not.
Letâs use the latest odds as an example. Notice how all of them have a + sign in front of the line? That means theyâre technically underdog bets â which is the norm with these types of bets. With so many sports betting options to choose from for MVP, most players will be longshots to win. The exception here is late in the season when a player starts running away as MVP leaders NFL.
Letâs use Burrow as an example here to understand odds. Heâs +700 odds to win NFL MVP award, per our chart. That means a $100 bet on Burrow at those odds would amount to a $700 profit if Burrow indeed becomes the Most Valuable Player of the league. By this alone, you can tell the lower the + number, the more that player is favored to win. This makes Mahomes the NFL MVP betting favorite in 2023 (Mahomes won last season).
Letâs hypothetically say Burrow was -150 to win. A line like that, assuming everyone stays with a plus (+) number, makes him the new frontrunner for NFL MVP 2024. This also changes his potential payout. Now youâd need to risk $150 to profit $100 off an MVP win for the Bengals quarterback.
Why Do NFL MVP Odds Change?
As we said, NFL MVP odds are not static. During the NFL regular season, they change every NFL week. This is because oddsmakers are moving odds based on whatâs happening in the field. A player has a monster game? You can bet his Vegas NFL MVP odds will improve. That actually happened in 2024 after the Tua-led Dolphins scored an eye-popping 70 points during a game (Tua contributed four touchdowns).
Obviously, the opposite also happens if a player has a down performance (multiple interceptions thrown), or worse, gets injured. Both situations would be negative for a player in the MVP race NFL, which means the odds will lengthen.
There are companies that specialize in odd-setting. Typically, these places feed the betting sites far and wide. Thatâs why youâll see very little variance in MVP NFL odds from site to site. Itâs the same odds for the most part because the source is the same.
What Are NFL Futures Bets?
You might hear the MVP bet called a futures. You see, a futures bet is a category of sports bets. Other categories include point spreads, over/unders, moneylines, and parlays.
Futures differ from the other types of bets because they are concerned with future outcomes, as the name hints. Most of the other bets deal with single-game outcomes, whereas futures are seasonal results.
MVP is an extremely popular futures wager in NFL betting. However, itâs not the only one. Other ones include different year-end rewards like Rookie of the Year or Offensive Player of the Year.
NFL MVP Betting Trends
Who is the MVP of the NFL 2024/25 going to be? Welp, if history is any indication, itâs likely going to be a quarterback. The MVP honor is often called a quarterbackâs award and that would be entirely accurate based on recent history.
Can you guess the last NFL player to win the MVP that didnât play quarterback? Take a guess seriously, weâll wait.
If youâve racked your brain enough and need an answer, then here it is: Adrian Peterson. The prolific running back won the MVP award in 2012. Since then? Itâs been all QBâs taking the NFL award.
This QB-MVP trend has really taken off since the mid-2000s. Thatâs around the same time that the NFL relaxed rules for the passing game, which turned football away from its run-first style that dominated before the 21st century. In the years between 2000 and 2006, three of the seven years resulted in a running back taking MVP. Since then, itâs only been Peterson.
Itâs practically impossible for any other position to finish atop the MVP race outside of QB and RB. Only three position players beyond those two have won the honor â linebacker Lawrence Taylor (1986), defensive lineman Alan Page (1971), and kicker Mark Moseley (1982; strike-shortened season). Yes, a kicker really did win MVP once. If we were you, we wouldnât bank on that ever happening again.
Given this history, we would think twice about betting players like Tyreek Hill (Dolphins) or Justin Jefferson (Minnesota Vikings), as an example. Phenomenal talents, but theyâre much more likely to win Offensive Player of the Year than the MVP award.
Itâs a longshot to win MVP for other positions because they donât touch the ball as often as quarterbacks (on every single play) and running backs (maybe 400 touches for a workhorse player). So donât go fall in love with sports betting underdogs, which leads us into our betting advice section.
NFL MVP Betting Advice
Want to know the common denominator between most NFL MVP award winners? Itâs not the one who scores the most TDs. Itâs not the one who gets the most passing yards. Oftentimes, the MVP award goes to the best player on the best team. Itâs really that simple.
We mean, itâs almost impossible to win MVP on a team thatâs not one of the contenders for a 2025 Super Bowl title. The MVP argument falls flat on its face: how can you be the most valuable player on a team thatâs hardly winning? Obviously, individual numbers contribute to MVP chances â but itâs not the number-one ingredient typically. Not as much as winning at least.
More MVP betting advice: donât make just one futures bet. If youâre betting early enough in the season, then almost every MVP candidate will have plus-money odds. This gives you a cushion to âspread the wealthâ on multiple players without completely killing all your profits. Given the unpredictability of who wins MVP, you want options instead of going âall inâ on one person.
Plus, the last thing you want is your MVP bet to injure himself mid-season and get shelved. You canât win MVP if youâre not on the field. This is football, after all, so injuries will likely spring up. In the event they do, at least you have a backup bet ready.
How To Bet On NFL MVP Odds
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