- What: Thursday NHL Picks
- Who: Florida Panthers at Toronto Maple Leafs
- When: Thursday, March 13, 7:00 p.m.
It's a battle for first place in the Atlantic Division in the Thursday NHL picks as the Toronto Maple Leafs play host to the Florida Panthers. Toronto (39-22-3) sits two points behind Florida (40-22-3) in the chase for the top playoff seeding in the division.
Even though Toronto is playing host to this key game, oddsmakers are leaning slightly toward the visiting Panthers as the chalk in this game. Florida is the -112 away favorite. Toronto is a +100 home underdog.
Let's look at the latest betting line on this game. Remember, odds are subject to change.
 | Puck Line | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Panthers | -1.5 (+220) | -112 | O 5.5 (-125) |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | +1.5 (-270) | +100 | U 5.5 (+109) |
The Panthers are 6-6 straight up in their last 12 road games. Toronto is 3-2 SU as a home underdog this season.
There are nine NHL games on the agenda during a relatively busy Thursday night of action. This is one of the games that we think provides the best bets of the night in the NHL picks.
Best NHL Picks For You
Before we make a deeper assessment of Thursday's Panthers vs Maple Leafs NHL picks and best bets, why not take a look at our handy NHL betting guide to see where the best NHL betting odds and picks are located, including the latest props and futures wagering. As well, these online sportsbook reviews will also aid in helping you decipher which betting site is the one that's going to service your NHL betting needs on a comprehensive basis. And if you're someone who is living life on the move, these are the best sports betting apps that can help you get your NHL bets down in the midst of your busy day.
Panthers vs Maple Leafs Betting Trends
The Panthers have won two in a row against the Maple Leafs and are 4-2 SU in the past six meetings. At Toronto, it's the Leafs who've won two in a row against Florida. Again, though, the Panthers own a 4-2 SU edge over the last six games.
Florida is 7-3 SU in the last 10 games against Toronto. Against all opponents, the Panthers are 6-1 SU through the past seven games. Florida is 4-1 SU in the last five meetings with Eastern Conference clubs. The Panthers are 3-1 SU in their last four clashes within the Atlantic Division.
Toronto is 9-4 SU over the past 13 games. The Maple Leafs are 12-3 SU in their last 15 games against Eastern Conference clubs and 7-1 SU in the last eight divisional contests.
The last three Florida vs Toronto games have gone over. However, the under is 9-3 through the past 12 meetings between the two teams. At Toronto, the under has been the winning play on the total in five of Florida's last six visits.
Each of Florida's last five games have gone under. Four of Florida's past five road games also went under.
Four of Toronto's last five games have hit on the over. At home, though, the Leafs have seen the under hit in six of the past nine games.
The Leafs are 8-7-1 SU as a betting underdog this season. Toronto is 16-16 against the puck line as a home team. Florida is 16-15 against the puck line as the away club. The Panthers are 33-20-2 SU as the favorite in the betting line.
Rough Week For Panthers
The Boston homecoming on Tuesday for new Panthers forward Brad Marchand didn't work out. The Panthers and the former Bruins captain were beaten 3-2. That setback ended Florida's six-game win streak.
🚨 SETH JONES WITH HIS FIRST POINT AS A PANTHER pic.twitter.com/5KYwqWVGw6
— Florida Panthers (@FlaPanthers) March 12, 2025
The reigning Stanley Cup champion Panthers already find themselves playing without their best defenseman for the remainder of the NHL regular season. Aaron Ekblad was handed a 20-game suspension by the league earlier this week for violating the terms of the NHL/NHLPA Performance Enhancing Substances Program.
Florida forward Sam Reinhart is tied for eighth in the NHL with 32 goals. Panthers netminder Sergei Bobrovsky is tied for second in the league with four shutouts.
Maple Leafs May Be Getting Tanev Back
There's a chance that top-pairing Toronto defenseman Chris Tanev could be back in the lineup for this game. He's been out since Feb. 25 after suffering an upper-body injury in a game against Boston. Tanev has 2-15-17 totals and a +26 rating in 57 games this season. He's skated 19:48 of ice time per game.
CHRIS TANEV INJURED TOO CAN THIS NIGHT GET WORSE pic.twitter.com/MdadcHLW6f
— b¹³ (@drysdalc) February 26, 2025
In Tavev's absence, new addition Brandon Carlo was leading Toronto defenseman in ice time during Tuesday's win over Utah. The trade-deadline acquisition from the Boston Bruins played 22:04 and 3:31 of penalty-kill time in his Maple Leafs debut.
Maple Leafs forward Mitch Marner is seventh in NHL scoring with 80 points. Fellow Toronto forward William Nylander is second in the league with 36 goals. Leafs goalie Anthony Stolarz, who played for the Panthers last season, is second in the NHL in save percentage (.921) and fourth in goals-against average (2.33).
Florida vs Toronto NHL Picks
The Leafs halted a three-game losing streak with a 4-3 win at Utah. Toronto has given up 23 goals over the past five games.
On the other hand, the Panthers have surrendered just four goals over the past five games, posting three shutouts. That's the kind of airtight defense that wins big games. Go with Florida over Toronto in the Thursday NHL picks.
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