Thunder to throttle Suns for easy home victory on Wednesday night

Steve Starr
By , Updated on: Feb 5, 2025 12:00 AM
thunder vs suns picks
  • What: NBA Picks
  • Who: Phoenix Suns at Oklahoma City Thunder
  • When: Wednesday, February 5, 9:30 p.m.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 34 points in just 22 minutes in a 125-96 win over the Milwaukee Bucks on Monday night. The NBA's leading scorer has Oklahoma City in first place in the Western Conference with a 39-9 record.

On Wednesday night, the Thunder will host a Phoenix team that is just one game over .500 (25-24) following a 121-119 overtime loss to the Portland Trail Blazers on Monday. With only a tenuous grip on a playoff spot, the Suns are reportedly shopping Kevin Durant before Thursday's 3 p.m. trade deadline.

Let's look at the latest betting lines for the game. Odds are subject to change.

BetOnlineSpreadMoney LineTotal Points
Phoenix Suns+11.5 (-110)+590Ov 226 (-110)
Oklahoma City Thunder-11.5 (-110)-850Un 226 (110)

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Thunders vs Suns Betting Trends

Oklahoma City is a spectacular 21-3 at home this season with a 16-7-1 record against the spread at Paycom Center. The Thunder's 39-9 overall record is tops in the Western Conference.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is a heavy -700 favorite to win his first NBA MVP award. The 26-year-old Canadian is leading the NBA in scoring, averaging 32.5 points per game with 6.0 assists and 5.2 rebounds.

At 25-24, Phoenix is in a 10th-place tie with Golden State for the last Play-In tournament spot in the West. The Suns have a 10-15 record away from home, and have a 3-8 ATS record as road underdogs.

The OVER is 14-9-1 in OKC home contests, and 16-9 in Suns road games.

Durant getting dealt?

While Phoenix is saying they don't plan on dealing Kevin Durant before Thursday's deadline, they are having conversations with other teams across the league. Even at age 36, Durant is still leading the Suns in scoring (26.9 PPG) with 6.1 rebounds and 4.2 assists per game. However, Mike Budenholzer's club is not even close to competing for a championship.

Devin Booker scored 34 points in a 121-119 OT loss to Portland on Monday night, becoming the franchise's career scoring leader.

OKC not expected to make a move

Last year, OKC was eliminated by the Dallas Mavericks in six games in the West semifinal. But, with Luka Doncic now with the Lakers and Lebron James, they now have a new team to worry about, in addition to Nikola Jokic's Denver Nuggets and the Memphis Grizzlies.

With a loaded roster of young, ascending players, Thunder GM Sam Presti isn't expected to swing for the fences before the NBA trade deadline. Complementing SGA, third-year forward Jalen Williams is averaging career-highs in points (21.1), rebounds (5.6) and assists (5.2) per game.

Chet Holmgren is expected to return soon. The lanky 7-foot center, who missed the majority of this season with a pelvic fracture, was averaging 16.4 points, 8.7 rebounds and 2.6 blocks per game before hitting the shelf.

Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Picks

After playing only 22 minutes in the Thunder's demolishing of the Bucks on Monday night, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander should be extra fresh for Wednesday night's home matchup with the sinking Suns. If Phoenix is close to shipping out Kevin Durant, they also might choose to sit their superstar.

Take Oklahoma City to cover the big spread at home (-11.5) with the OVER 226 (-110)

OKC Thunder To cover vs Phoenix Suns
Bovada
-11.5

Meet the author

Steve Starr

Accomplished Sports Betting Specialist with over two decades of experience in sports analytics, strategic betting formulation, and risk management, with a particular focus on professional sports such as the NFL, NBA, and NHL. Proven success in applying statistical mo...

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