Gator Bowl Picks: Can Duke cover massive spread against Ole Miss?

Tony Reyes
By , Updated on: Dec 16, 2024 12:00 AM
Gator Bowl Picks: Can Duke cover massive spread against Ole Miss?
  • What: 2024 TaxSlayer Gator Bowl
  • When: January 2, 2025
  • Who: Duke vs. Ole Miss
  • Time:  6:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Gator Bowl Stadium (Jacksonville, FL)

Ole Miss will head to Jacksonville for the holidays, where they will face Duke (9-3, 5-3 ACC) in the Gator Bowl on January 2 at 6:30 p.m. 

This will be Ole Miss's fourth appearance in the Gator Bowl and their first-ever matchup against the Blue Devils.

After achieving the program's first 11-win season, Ole Miss (9-3, 5-3 SEC) enjoyed a successful year.

The highlight was a monumental victory over then-No. 3 Georgia, the eventual SEC champion. The win was one of the standout moments in the team's recent history. 

A key matchup to watch will be Duke’s pass protection against Ole Miss’ formidable pass rush.

The Blue Devils are tied for 12th nationally, allowing only 12 sacks, while Ole Miss leads the nation with an impressive total of 52 sacks.

There will be no shortage of Online college football betting as the college football season continues, and every game becomes a high-stakes chess match.

Game Preview (Duke vs. Ole Miss)

SpreadBetOnlineBetUSBovada
Duke +15 Points-105-110-105
Ole Miss -15 Points-115-110-115

Duke quarterback Maalik Murphy has accumulated nearly 3,000 passing yards and ranks fourth in the ACC with 26 touchdown throws. 

However, he also has 12 interceptions, which tie for the most in the conference. His efficiency rating stands at 133.53, placing him 72nd nationally and 11th in the ACC.

Duke +15 points Duke vs. Ole Miss
Bovada
-105

Duke ranks 125th in the nation in rushing yards per game, averaging 96.5 yards. However, running back Star Thomas stands out as he is eighth in the ACC with a total of 871 rushing yards.

On the other hand, the Rebels have an impressive run defense. They sit at No. 2 in the country, allowing only 83.5 rushing yards per game.

In the passing game, Jordan Moore and Eli Pancol have crossed the 700-yard mark in receiving, contributing to 16 touchdown receptions between them. 

Ole Miss quarterback Jaxson Dart ranks fourth in the FBS with 3,875 passing yards and holds the second spot in passing efficiency. With 25 touchdown passes, he is tied for third in the conference, leading the league in both yards per attempt and yards per completion.

Following the season-ending injury of senior running back Henry Parrish Jr., the Rebels have struggled with consistency in their running game. 

Nevertheless, they are still averaging 176 rushing yards over the three games since Parrish's injury.

Wide receiver Tre Harris led the team with 1,030 receiving yards. He has already declared his intentions for the NFL Draft. However, the Rebels' receiving corps still has plenty of talent. 

Sophomore Cayden Lee boasts 817 yards, while senior Jordan Watkins has recorded 726 yards, and senior Antwane “Juice” Wells Jr. has a total of 521 yards.

15 Points feels like a lot of points in this one, I would bet on Duke to keep this within that margin. Duke +15 points at -105 odds is the best bet in this one. 

Ole Miss -15 Points Duke vs. Ole Miss
BetUS
-110

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Total Points (Blue Devils vs. Rebels)

Total PointsBetOnlineBetUSBovada
Over 52.5-110-110-110
Under 52.5-110-110-110

The Blue Devils score an average of 26.8 points per game, placing them 73rd in the nation.

On the defensive side, Duke allows 22.17 points per game, ranking them tied for 42nd overall. They are 20th in passing efficiency defense and ranked 71st in rushing yards allowed, giving up 149.5 yards per game.

Like Ole Miss, Duke's defense thrives in the opponent's backfield, as they are tied for third in the country with 40 sacks.

Additionally, the Rebels excel in tackles-for-loss, averaging 9.7 per game, while Duke allows about 5.67 tackles-for-loss per game, which is tied for 74th nationally.

Ole Miss, on the other hand, sits seventh nationally with an average of 37.5 points per game. The Rebels led the SEC the season. 

The Rebels allow about six tackles-for-loss per game, which ranks them tied for 91st in the nation.

Moreover, Ole Miss sits 39th in the country for passing efficiency defense and has only allowed 11 touchdown passes this season.

This one feels like a high-scoring game, and I would bet over 52.5 points on this one. 

Over 52.5 Points Duke vs. Ole Miss
Bovada
-110

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Meet the author

Tony Reyes

With years of experience as an analyst, Tony brings an expert voice to picks and predictions. His passion for sports betting is evident in his coverage, which not only informs and entertains but also shares his love for the game. When he's not watching or covering t...

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