It may seem like only yesterday that Donald Trump Sr. won the 2024 Presidential Election, but already the bookmakers have turned their attention to the next election. J.D. Vance is the early betting favorite to win the 2028 US Presidential Election. But with plenty of ifs, buts, and maybes, is Trump's deputy the best value bet in the political futures markets? Letās take a closer look.
- The bookmakers have wasted no time opening a book to win the 2028 US Presidential Election
- J.D. Vance is the early frontrunner to win the next race for the White House at +250
- According to the bookmakers, Ron DeSantis and Marco Rubio are set to be Vanceās biggest rivals for the Republican nomination at the next poll
Who is favorite to win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes, the bookmakers already have US Election betting odds live for the 2028 vote. J.D. Vance is the early frontrunner, the Vice-President is +250 with Bovada.
According to the same firm, the Democrats Josh Shapiro and Gavin Newsom are the biggest threat to Vance. They are the +900 joint-second favorites.
Also in the running for the Democrats is Gretchen Whitner at +1500. She was touted as a possible rival to Biden and Harris in 2024. But even then, the smart money was on the Governor of Michigan waiting for another four years to make her pitch.
Ron Desantis is +1800, with Donald Trump Sr. next at +2000, despite him not being - currently - eligible to run for a third term in office.
| 2028 US Presidential Election Winner Betting |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
| J.D Vance | +250 | +250 | +250 |
| Josh Shapiro | +900 | +900 | +900 |
| Gavin Newsome | +900 | +900 | +900 |
| Gretchen Whitner | +1500 | +1500 | +1500 |
| Ron DeSantis | +1800 | +1800 | +1800 |
| Donald Trump Sr. | +2000 | +2000 | +1800 |
| Michelle Obama | +2000 | +2000 | +650 |
| Donald Trump Jr. | +5000 | +5000 | +3500 |
Betting on Donald Trump Sr. to Repeal the Two-term Presidential Limit
Picking up on Donald Trump Sr. winning a third term in office, there are plenty of markets for whether or not Trump will repeal the two-term Presidential limit. At the moment, Bovada is -2500 on no and +800 on yes.
It would take a very brave - or foolish - punter to wager on Trump to not repeal the two-term limit at odds of -2500. No one really knows what Trump will do. But one thing that we do know is that Trump likes to go against the establishment and create his own rules, and also create his own legacy and history.
A third term in charge would see Trump go down in history again. Maybe for the wrong reasons for some. But Trump might see it as groundbreaking. And it wouldnāt be a huge shock to see him at the very least put the idea out there.
Republican nominee betting
Of course, all of this is a long way off. But should Trump not repeal the two-term limit, then the Republicans will need to choose a nominee to stand in 2028.
At the moment the favorite in the latest politics betting online is J.D. Vance. It goes without saying really. Vance is the favorite to win the 2028 Presidential Election, so to do that, he would first have to win the nomination.
Bovada has J.D. Vance at +140 to win the nomination. His closest betting rivals are Ron Desantis at +800, with Marco Rubio and Vivek Ramaswamy at +1200. Donald Trump Sr. is still there, at +1400, with Tulsi Gabbard at +2000.
Continuity is what the bookmakers are basing this market on. If all goes to plan and schedule, Trump Sr. will be a success, and after he steps aside, J.D. Vance will carry on in the White House, continuing Trumpās work.
But we all know itās not as simple as that.
Our early pick to win the 2028 US Presidential Election
In the modern day, itās a sad fact that it looks like America is unlikely to elect a woman to serve in the White House anytime soon. Both Hillary Clinton and Kamala Harris have both failed in recent times.
That makes the Democrats picking another female to run in 2028 look all the more unlikely. Unless that is, Michelle Obama decides to stand.
But, assuming itās J.D. Vance who stands for the Republicans, who is most likely to beat him from a Democratic perspective?
Gavin Newsom has long been touted as a man capable of winning the White House. Another name that will no doubt enter the mix is Josh Shapiro. Both have the credentials, but itās too early to say who will be the front-runner in three to four years.
At this moment in time, the Republicans are favored to win again in 2028. And with an element of uncertainty about who will be the GOP nominee, a bet on the Republican Party winning the election at -150 would look to be the wisest call.
There is still no clear indication of what direction the Democrats will go in. So with their only rivals in disarray, another four-year term for a GOP nominee looks like the most likely outcome - at this moment in time.
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