Hump Day err Wednesday is here. That means the College Basketball betting sites are ready to roll. There are plenty of college basketball games on this night. At Online Sports Betting, we preview what expects to be a matchup that might surprise. So, we look at the Trojans vs Bulldogs bets featuring Arkansas and Troy. In theory, this could be closer than expected.
- WHAT: Troy Trojans versus Arkansas Razorbacks
- WHEN: Monday, November 13th, 2024, 8:00 pm ET on ESPN+ and SEC Network
- WHERE: Bud Walton Arena, Fayetteville, Arkansas
- WHY: Because John Calipari means good theatre.
The bettors keep seeing some upsets here and there. Yes, those Troy vs Arkansas bets could feature a few different possible options. Now, Troy comes in at 2-0 while the John Calipari coached Arkansas Razorbacks lost to Baylor on Saturday by five points. Can Arkansas bounce back? Our numbers here come courtesy of Bovada Online Sportsbook Review.
Troy vs Arkansas By The Numbers
Troy vs Arkansas Bets Worry About Arkansas
Troy vs Arkansas bets worry about Arkansas. So, John Calipari and Arkansas looked alright in the opener. However, the Razorbacks dropped a close decision to the Baylor Bears in their second game. That raised some concerns was Arkansas could not play at the pace some expected. Yes, the schedule gets easier for Arkansas until Thanksgiving when they play Illinois. A four-game homestand begins on Wednesday night for the Razorbacks.
Honestly, there are more questions than answers. Is Arkansas even worthy of a ranking? That is a great question. The Razorbacks got ranked 16th in the preseason and dropped to 18th after the weekend defeat in Dallas. With a packed SEC, Arkansas will not have it easy. Some of these players will experience a true trial by fire. However, the Razorbacks are supposed to easily breeze through this four-game homestand at Bud Walton Arena.
Let us take on this Wednesday night game. Can Troy keep this close enough and cause John Calipari and Arkansas a little Italian heartburn? It is time to take a closer look.
The Offenses May Not Quite Have Enough Gas
Troy vs Arkansas bets know that the offenses may not quite have enough gas. Again, these two teams would probably require one to hit the 80-point mark. More than likely, Arkansas might be the one to get there. However, with that game total of 151, there are concerns. Even 150 might be a tall order especially if Arkansas shoots like it did against Baylor. What if Adou Thiero does not go off for 24 points? How ugly would that loss have been for the Razorbacks?
Again, this game is more about Arkansas than Troy. Yes, Troy is 2-0 but they played the likes of Toledo and New Orleans. These are far from quality wins (-14.24 SOS). SOS is just a fancy term for Strength Of Schedule. Anyway, they did not get above 85 points against either one of those opponents. The expectations and projections count on Troy struggling getting to 70 against Arkansas. Early in the season, projections can be very wrong because honestly with some teams one just does not know.
Johnell Davis was expected to help lead Arkansas along with Boogie Fland. The Florida Atlantic transfer has found out the hard way that playing for John Calipari is not so easy. Davis has struggled from the field in the early going capped by a 2-for-9 against Baylor where Davis flat out missed several quality looks in the second half. Troy should offer some easier opposition but then again Davis might take awhile to get going.
Again, we examine this with a little more of a magnifying lens. The Over/Under did inch upward to 151 points. Like we mentioned above, the thought process is going up to 151.5 or even 152.5 is very possible. Keep an eye on those alternate numbers but we like that 151.5 number. Some expectations say to jack this up to 154.5 at +125 but we will not go that far.
Troy vs Arkansas Bets Laying 13 Points?
So, what about Troy vs Arkansas bets laying 13 points? The first month of the college basketball season always produces crazy upsets. While Troy may not pull off the upset here, even Elon covered against North Carolina. Then the Tar Heels went down by 20 to Kansas, rallied, then came up short late. Anything can and often does happen this time of year. It is its own form of madness, a Madness Lite if you will.
The Trojans could hang with the Razorbacks longer than most bettors would like. It is why some suggest this game could slide back to 12.5. No now would be shocked if it did. So far in November, expecting the unexpected is probably easier on the stomach. If I am John Calipari, I suggest finding more Pepto Bismol as he will need it in the SEC. Anyway, this game at least should be a little bit easier.
Alas, Troy should be able to offer some decent resistance on Wednesday night. There could be a very late backdoor cover here for the Trojans. Tayton Conerway can be very dangerous if he hits a few threes early. His ability to find open players could cause problems for the Arkansas defense. Troy's balanced look should offer the chance for a cover (barely) on Wednesday night.
What About A Winning Margin?
Finally, Troy vs Arkansas bets ask what about a winning margin? Again, this is not something to bet more than a few dollars on. The idea here is to take a few swings. Arkansas could win by 10-13 points which is the sweet spot at +350. However, if they find a way to cover, going up to 14 to 16 lays in at +475. Again, we like the former over the latter.
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