Will the Nuggets hand the OKC Thunder their first loss?

What: NBA Regular Season Game
When: November 6, 2024
Who: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets
Time: 7:30 p.m. EST
Where: Ball Arena (Denver, CO)

The Oklahoma City Thunder will take on the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday night in an eagerly awaited matchup in the Western Conference.

This game marks their second encounter of the season. Will the Nuggets be able to claim the first victory over OKC?

The Thunder have emerged as a surprising force in the early NBA season, boasting an undefeated record backed by impressive performances on both offense and defense.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, averaging 25.7 points and 6.9 assists per game, and Chet Holmgren, contributing 17.1 points and 9.7 rebounds, have been pivotal in leading Oklahoma City.

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Game Preview (Thunder vs. Nuggets)

Spread
OKC Thunder - 7	-113	-105	-105
Denver Nuggets +7	-107	-115	-115

Their well-rounded offensive strategy, combined with the strongest defense in the league that allows only 95.9 points per game, makes them a challenging opponent for the struggling Nuggets.

The key to OKC's perfect 7-0 start has been their ability to restrict opponents' scoring while executing their offensive plans effectively.

OKC Thunder -7 OKC Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets

-113

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Conversely, the Nuggets have had a rocky start to the season, holding a 4-3 record.

Although Nikola Jokic continues to shine with impressive stats, the team has struggled with consistency and depth.

The Thunder's stifling defense should challenge Denver's supporting players, putting more pressure on Jokic to perform.

With their current momentum and collective team play, the Thunder are in a solid position to achieve a victory on the road, reinforcing their status as early contenders in the Western Conference.

After seven games, Nikola is now averaging a triple-double

🃏 29 PTS
🃏 12.6 REB
🃏 10.2 AST pic.twitter.com/4hAt5UOUIT

— Denver Nuggets (@nuggets) November 5, 2024

Despite a slower start, the Nuggets have star player Nikola Jokic, who averages 29.6 points, 12.6 rebounds, and 10.3 assists per game, making him crucial against the Thunder's top-ranked defense.

Playing at home provides the Nuggets an advantage, as the altitude can hinder the Thunder's fast-paced style. Although the Thunder are 7-0, they have vulnerabilities, and the Nuggets' playoff experience could give them a mental boost.

Key players like Michael Porter Jr. and Russell Westbrook will need to contain the Thunder's dynamic duo, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Chet Holmgren.

If the Nuggets can control the game's tempo, they have a strong chance of handing the Thunder their first loss.

The spread in this game is seven points. Oddsmakers favoring the Thunder makes sense considering how wounded the Nuggets are.

However, I disagree with them and will back the Nuggets at home and the seven points. While the Thunder may still win this one it will be a closer game than anticipated.

Nuggets +7 points is the best bet in this one.

Denver Nuggets +7 OKC Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets

-107

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Total Points

Total Points
Over 223.5	-110	-110	-105
Under 223.5	-110	-110	-115

The Thunder offense is spearheaded by the dynamic Shai Gilgeous-Alexander alongside rookie standout Chet Holmgren, the Thunder are averaging an impressive 113.3 points per game.

Oklahoma City ranks seventh in pace of play as they prepare for this road clash between two top teams in the Western Conference.

The Nuggets are dealing with injury issues, and the Thunder have enough depth to challenge Jokic, but Aaron Gordon and Jamaal Murray are unavailable.

One word: hustle.

Taking another look at tonight's @OGandE Power Play of the Game 🎥 pic.twitter.com/3o2bNZGCOc

— OKC THUNDER (@okcthunder) November 5, 2024

In their last 10 matchups, neither team has exceeded an average of 110 points.

Given Denver's missing players and Oklahoma City's strong defensive efforts, this game will likely go well below the expected total.

With Denver positioned at 17th in pace and Murray sidelined, Jokic will likely focus on slowing the game down and limiting the Thunder's possessions. Betting on the under seems like a solid choice here.

If Denver can slow down the game and limit the possessions in this matchup, Under 223.5 points is a great bet for this matchup.

Under 223.5 Points OKC Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets

-110

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