UFC Vegas 100 Picks: Magny vs Prates Best Bets

The fight card for UFC Vegas 100 is set, and it is a humdinger.

Neil Magny vs. Carlos Prates is the main event, with each looking to improve their path toward title bouts in the future. Naturally, we are here to break it all down.

What: UFC Vegas 100 (UFC Fight Night 247, UFC on ESPN+ 105
When: Saturday, November 9, 2024
Start Time: 4 p.m. EST (preliminary bouts), 7 p.m. EST (main card)
Where: Las Vegas, Nevada
Venue: UFC Apex
Where to Watch: ESPN+ (subscription required)
Main Event: Neil Magny vs. Carlos Prates

Neil “The Haitian Sensation” Magny enters UFC Vegas 100 with an overall record of 29-13-0. Carlos Prates arrives with a 20-6-0 record of his own.

UFC Vegas 100 Main Event: Neil Magny vs. Carlos Prates Betting Line

As of now, here are who the latest online UFC betting odds are favoring ahead of the action:

To Win
Neil Magny	+435	+475	+450	+415
Carlos Prates	-610	-750	-675	-575

As always, please remember to double-check these UFC Vegas 100 betting odds right up until you actually submit your wagers. Our UFC Vegas 100 predictions are accurate entering Monday, October 28. This gives the best online UFC betting sites plenty of time to adjust their odds in advance of this matchup on Saturday, November 9.

Specifically, if you have not placed a Neil Magny vs. Carlos Prates bet already, you most definitely need to refresh these wagering lines. Action on future UFC events tends to increase tenfold following the conclusion of a big fight. And as many of you already know, we had Ilia Topuria defeat Max Holloway at UFC 308. The lines for UFC Vegas 99 and UFC Vegas 100 have already moved in the aftermath of that result. It’s important to keep up with any chances.

Anyhow, oddsmakers have pegged Prates as the heavy favorite over Magny. Is that the right call? What would it take for Magny to walk away with a seemingly improbable victory? Let’s break it all down.

The Case for Carlos Prates to Defeat Neil Magny

Carlos Prates (-610) has taken the UFC world by storm over the past year or so. The welterweight fighter has picked up a number of big-time victories over this span, including a knockout win over Li Jingliang at UFC 305 back in August.

The 31-year-old has even caught the attention of UFC Commissioner Dana White for his body of work during the company’s contender series. Consider what White said following Prates’ UFC 305 victory (via UFC.com):

“Smooth, calm, violent, absolutely nasty combos. In the first round, he landed 70 percent of his strikes. The UFC average is 44 percent. He came out in the second round and looked even better [and] finished the fight. This kid, he’s 17-6 now, he’s 30 years old, we could throw him right in the mix. He could fight anybody. The way he looked tonight, he looked like a prime, young, vintage Anderson Silva to me. This dude is absolutely in the UFC.”

To that end, certain online sports betting sites in the United States initially had Prates making the UFC 309 fight card. Instead, though, he headlines UFC Vegas 100. With a victory over Magny, he could fast track himself for a more primetime matchup.

Most have Prates ticketed for a decided victory over Magny. It isn’t hard to see why. The former has parlayed a ridiculously long 78-inch reach into a 57 percent striking accuracy, and he has done an excellent job honing his takedown defense over the past calendar year. What’s more, none of his recent fights have made it out of the second round. The KO/TKO power he sports is real, and Magny is working off a KO/TKO loss this past August to the not-as-powerful Michael Morales.

Carlos Prates To beat Neil Magny at UFC Vegas 100

-610

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The Case for Neil Magny to Defeat Carlos Prates

Despite what the UFC Vegas 100 betting odds say Magny is not some no-name pushover. Sure, he has fallen into a bit of a rough patch. Magny has basically alternated wins and losses since 2021. He is currently 3-4 over his past seven matches, with a handful of those letdowns coming by submission or knockout.

Still, Magny has an 80-inch reach of his own. That length should play well versus Prates’ own makeup.

There is also more to Magny’s technical blend of fighting. He may not pack the TKO power of Prates, but he generates the thrust necessary to knock opponents down, and he has the wrestling arsenal to force submissions.

Magny may also have the edge in stamina, if only because more of his fights have gone the distance to decisions. In the event he makes it past minute No. 2 of the second round, this fight will be on more even ground.

Neil Magny To beat Carlos Prates at UFC Vegas 100

+435

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UFC Vegas 100 Picks for Prates vs. Magny

While it would not outright shock us if Magny defies the odds in this one, we have to pick Carlos Prates to win.

Speed and accuracy are the primary difference-makers. Both fighters can be decidedly above-average strikers. But Prates maintains a higher accuracy rate (57 percent) while landing over five significant strikes per minute. Magny is not wired to keep pace with that meld of precision and rapidity.

To Magny’s credit, we might fall short of predicting an early ending. He has the build and footwork to avoid classic KO scenarios.

Then again, we also can’t rule out such an end result. Prates has looked utterly dominant. And after UFC Vegas 100, we expect him to be on a main card for one of UFC’s next up and coming pay-per-view events.

Carlos Prates To beat Neil Magny at UFC Vegas 100

-610

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Take a look at this list of the top online sportsbooks so you can find one that works for all of your sports betting needs: