Can Texas A&M defeat LSU at home to take control of the SEC?

What: NCAA Football Regular Season Game
When: October 26, 2024
Who: LSU vs. Texas A&M
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
Where: Kyle Field (College Station, TX)

The No. 14 Texas A&M Aggies host the No. 8 LSU Tigers this Saturday night with first place in the SEC at stake.

Texas A&M has a perfect 4-0 record in conference play and is riding a six-game winning streak after their season-opening loss to Notre Dame.

Meanwhile, LSU, also on a six-game winning streak following their defeat to USC, sits just behind with a 3-0 conference record. Both teams share an overall record of 6-1.

There will be no shortage of Online college football betting as the college football season continues, and every game becomes a high-stakes chess match

Since Texas A&M joined the SEC in 2012, LSU has emerged victorious in nine of their 12 encounters. However, the last six matchups have been evenly divided, with the home team claiming victory in each instance.

Game Preview (LSU vs. Texas A&M)

In SEC matchups, scoring and total offense statistics show little difference, but the Tigers and Aggies have different approaches to advancing the ball.

Spread
LSU +1	-110	-110	-110
Texas A&M -1	-110	-110	-110

Texas A&M focuses on the ground game, averaging over 200 rushing yards per game. While, LSU leans significantly on quarterback Garrett Nussmeier’s passing abilities.

Nussmeier is tied for seventh in the nation with 18 touchdown passes this season.

The Texas A&M defense has performed well against conference opponents. They have limited them to an average of 17.8 points and 325.3 yards per game.

LSU and Texas A&M meet as Top-15 teams for the fourth time since 2012. LSU is 3-0 with wins in 2012 and 2016 coming in College Station. pic.twitter.com/tw04QtpeeK

— LSU Football (@LSUfootball) October 24, 2024

However, they have shown some vulnerability in the passing game. The critical factor will be whether the LSU's offensive line can keep providing Nussmeier with enough protection to locate his receivers. Nussmeier has only been sacked twice this season.

While LSU may not be a powerhouse, their ability to handle pressure and face adversity has significantly improved over the past month.

LSU +1 LSU vs. Texas A&M

-110

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Texas A&M quarterback Conner Weigman has missed the last three games due to injury. This could be the reason for the underwhelming development of the passing game.

Offensively, Texas A&M has a dominant rushing attack, scoring eight rushing touchdowns in their past two games alone, and can potentially exploit the LSU run defense.

Running back Le'Veon Moss has shined, accumulating 674 rushing yards and eight touchdowns.

He is anticipated to play well against an LSU defense that yields an average of 153.7 rushing yards per game to SEC competition.

The home team coming out with the win in these matchups is a trend I'm going to stick with.

Texas A&M -1 at home is the pick in this matchup.

Texas A&M -1 LSU vs. Texas A&M

-110

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Total Points (Tigers vs. Aggies)

Let's examine the total points prop in this matchup.

Total Points
Over 55	-110	-110	-110
Under 55	-110	-110	-110

Texas A&M's knack for breaking through into the backfield could pose a significant challenge for LSU's offense. This could potentially lead to mistakes from Tigers quarterback Garrett Nussmeier, such as rushed throws and sacks.

By effectively halting the run and generating negative plays, Texas A&M can push LSU into more predictable passing scenarios. This enables its defense to focus more on its pass rush and coverage.

Under the lights.

🆚 LSU
⏰ 6:30PM CT
📺 ABC
📍 Kyle Field#GigEm | #BTHOlsu pic.twitter.com/nuplBz1xzr

— Texas A&M Football (@AggieFootball) October 22, 2024

However, LSU's thrilling comeback against Ole Miss highlighted the team's maturation. The defense has improved in crucial moments, while the offense demonstrated its ability to execute critical drives and convert challenging fourth downs.

The resilience of this team, coupled with the effective player development by Brian Kelly, make a strong case for picking LSU.

This should be a fantastic matchup and a great test for both teams. The total of 55 points seems high, I'm expecting these defenses to make a statement in this one.

I'd bet Under 55 points at -110 odds as the best bet in this one.

Under 55 Points LSU vs. Texas A&M

-110

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