UFC 307 Picks, Pereira vs Rountree Betting Picks

What: UFC 307 Main Event
Who: Alex Pereira vs. Khalil Rountree
Date: Saturday, October 5, 2024
Location: Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah
Time: Early Prelims (6:00), Prelims (8:00 p.m. ET), Main Card (10:00 p.m. ET), Pereira vs Rountree (after Midnight. ET)
How to Watch: Early Prelims (ESPN+) Prelims (ESPN+) Main Card (PPV), Pereira vs Rountree (PPV)

UFC 307 digs into the Light Heavyweights after Midnight on Saturday night. Now Alex Pereira and Khalil Rountree figure to feature some fireworks. Pereira beat Jiri Prochazka twice and Jamahal Hill to defend his Light Heavyweight title. Can Pereira defend the belt against a very tough Rountree? The Best UFC 307 bets look into this fight against one of the most dangerous MMA fighters out there.

Khail Rountree, a Light Heavyweight veteran, (13-5, 1 NC) has gone 5-0 in his previous five fights. He did lose two in a row before this winning streak. The American MMA fighter has looked totally different over the past three years. More importantly, Rountree has rounded his form and got a bump up from facing Jamahal Hill despite being suspended for a banned substance. It is funny how these things work.

Alex Pereira (11-2, 9 KO's) makes another defense of his UFC Light Heavyweight Championship. Time does not seem to be catching up to the 37-year-old. His last three wins have either been by TKO or KO. None of those fights have gone beyond two rounds.

Okay, what are some best bets for the Alex Pereira vs. Khalil Rountree bout on this UFC 307 card? Let's examine those great UFC betting online 2024 sites and where you can get updated best odds on all UFC fights.

UFC 307 Main Event: Alex Pereira vs. Khalil Rountree Betting Picks

UFC 307 Main Event
Alex Pereira	-455	-500	-500
Khalil Rountree	+350	+375	+350

Best UFC 307 Bets: Alex Pereira Betting Analysis

With the Best UFC 307 Bets, sometimes betting analysis can get right to the point. When does age become an issue with Alex Pereira? As we all know, Father Time is always undefeated. So far, the Brazilian fighter has adapted well to the Light Heavyweight division after losing his Middleweight crown. His punching power and significant strike ability has been a notch above the rest of the division so far.

Fortunately, one of the big keys for Pereira is his ability to strike accurately. When one talks a nearly 70% accuracy rate of significant strikes, that is very telling. The 5.23 LPM is a large advantage over Khalil Rountree's 3.84. Pereira sparred and even fought some southpaws in the past which should help him deal with the different angles that Rountree can throw at the champion. Also, Pereira does not have to worry about takedowns. It is not a strength of Rountree.

Pereira is the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion and the #2 pound-for-pound fighter in the UFC. He has the body of record to go for the top spot. Time likely limits his ability to move up to Heavyweight and many believe Pereira at 204 pounds cannot go much higher. His two fights versus Prochazka delivered two Performances Of The Night. Could Rountree be three?

The Black Belt in kickboxing and Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu are huge assets. Plus there are times when Pereira works with that reach to produce some powerful kicks that set up his punching combinations. His ground and pound makes him a big favorite to keep his UFC Light Heavyweight Championship.

Alex Pereira To beat Khalil Rountree

-455

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And Now Those Khalil Rountree Betting Picks

Khalil Rountree is far from new from those who are in the know in the UFC. He has fought for eight years in the UFC and though he lost his first two fights, Rountree kept at it. Even at 8-5 with 1 NC, the American found his form. With the ranking system, the fighter got up to eighth at the end of last year and could arguably be in the Top 5 presently. The Best UFC 307 Bets could get spiced up as Rountree becomes an intriguing long shot.

Rountree does have a 2.5-inch reach disadvantage but that Southpaw angle could be an equalizer. He has very good punching and kicking skills as the 34-year old is a magnet for knockouts and kicks. Four of his five wins during this run have come via TKO and that includes a win via a huge leg kick. Rountree can knock one out via both legs as well. His left may be stronger but do not discount that right.

The attack strategy for Rountree is this. He must find a way to stun Pereira. Ultimately, a decision feels not too likely here. Rountree will have to do something most do not expect him to do. That is right. He likely will have to TKO the champion. Now, that is an even longer long shot for UFC 307.

Khalil Rountree To win by TKO/KO/Submission over Alex Pereira

+800

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Best UFC 307 Bets – Alex Pereira vs. Khalil Rountree

Yes, the Best UFC 307 Bets, the process evolves a little. Think about what we have seen in the last PPV or two. There have been those fighters who get into the ground and hold until they can make a move toward a submission. Look at how the Shevchenko and Dvalishvili and even Lopes as examples. They waited, waited, and waited. These fighters got their decisions and wins. In Shevchenko's case, she won the UFC Ladies Flyweight Championship.

Do the punching and even kicking prowess of the fighters simply boil down to who gets in those early shots first? It may not quite be that simple. This becomes more who works angles and adapts to get their shots in. There is little doubt that Pereira can throw more punches and kicks than Rountree. Can he make the most of that advantage in significant strikes?

The betting pick of Pereira to win by knockout is our best bet. The number expects to shift and may even shorten further. Take the Brazilian to get win number 12 and knockout number 10.

Alex Pereira To knock out Khalil Rountree

-200

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