- What: UFC Brady vs. Burns Co-Main
- Who: Jessica Andrade vs. Natalia Silva
- Date: Saturday, September 7, 2024
- Location: UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada
- Time: Prelims (4:00 p.m. ET), Main Card (7:00 p.m. ET), C0-Main (around 9:45 p.m. ET)
- How to Watch: Prelims (ESPN+) Main Card (ESPN+), Co-Main (ESPN+)
UFC 306 rolls in a little less than two weeks. Naturally, we dive into the next UFC event from Las Vegas. Next, UFC Brady vs. Burns Night takes place on September 7th at the UFC Apex. So, the co-main of the ESPN card, flyweights Jessica Andrade and Natalia Silva will settle their Brazilian rivalry next Saturday night. Some honed in on the age different right away. Andrade is 32 with Silva at only 27 years old. Best UFC Fight Night bets believe this fight title more towards the younger Silva.
Natalia Silva, the younger fighter, (17-5, 5 KO, 7 Submissions) has won 11 straight bouts and the last two by decision. The Southpaw Flyweight had two TKO's before that. She has fought at 125 pounds for a long time and again has not lost in more than six years.
Jessica Andrade (26-12) has gone 3-2 in her previous five contests. The Mackenzie Dern TKO was believed to be quite a bounce back. That bout earned Andrade the Performance Of The Night. However, her split decision against Marina Rodriguez raised more questions than answers.
What are a few best bets for the Jessica Andrade vs. Natalia Silva bout on this UFC On ESPN+ card? Alright, check out these great UFC betting online 2024 sites where you can locate the optimal odds on these Saturday UFC fights.
UFC On ESPN Co-Main: Jessica Andrade vs. Natalia Silva Betting Picks
Best UFC Fight Night Bets: Jessica Andrade Betting Analysis
For the Best UFC Fight Night Bets, it is weird to see the numbers tilted like they are for this co-main. Betting analysis seems to favor Andrade's opponent for a variety of reasons. Her ability to grapple and utilize takedowns could be a huge plus. Now, Andrade does have ten knockouts among her 26 wins with eight submissions and decisions each.
Now, the Brazilian could just wrestle and takedown her way to a decision here. Andrade has the ability to use several excellent submission moves. However, in her last five fights, she has been more open defensively to being knocked out or submitted herself. Is that age or a sign that her ranking may be a bit inflated (#6 in Women's UFC Flyweight).
Round 3 will tell the tale for Andrade. Remember Andrade's best days seem like they have past for awhile. The Brazilian was once the Strawweight Champion. Also, her 62-inch reach is a concern here as is her lack of ability to fight Southpaws. Again, Andrade may have to fight and wrestle smarter not harder.
What can we take a shot on with the underdog? Okay, that decision number is going to come in close to the Moneyline. Early projections were suggesting around +275 to +300. BetOnline has the Moneyline at +250 here. Playing err betting the latter may be a little safer here.
UFC On ESPN+: Natalia Silva Betting Picks
Natalia Silva expects to win this fight from her punching and kick power. This is because Silva can throw way more combinations and has a deceptively powerful kick (Taekwondo and Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu background). This is a fighter who also has won a majority of her fights by knockout or submission (5 KO's, 7 submissions). Silva's Southpaw stance and three inches of extra reach should cause Andrade issues all night. Yes, the Best UFC Fight Night Bets seem to be trained on Silva potentially ending this in Round 3.
Also, Silva will not have trouble in making weight. Right now, reports suggest that Andrade could gain several pounds between now and Saturday night. The Brazilian lost almost two years due to injuries and complications. She is ranked eighth among Flyweights but the argument is her ceiling is Flyweight contender at least.
Again, the numbers for Silva to win by KO/TKO/Submission were in the -150 to -175 range. It is not unreasonable to take a look at this outcome. Among the sportsbooks, Silva is around -300 on the Moneyline at this time and a decision is around -200 for Silva. That number could move. Silva's ability to win the third round in her past two fights proved huge in those decision victories. Here, that finish may prove to end this bout early.
Best UFC Fight Night Bets – Jessica Andrade vs. Natalia Silva
Examining all the Best UFC Fight Night Bets, the riskiest one may be this. This bout will feature a good deal of entertainment as the two Brazilians want to show supremacy. Silva wants to attack from different angles on the left side and Silva has a slight ability to switch stances. She will rarely utilize it but that is something to watch. Reach and angle of attack favors Silva being able to wear down Andrade as the fight moves along.
Going the distance here (Over 2.5 Rounds) is tempting. The number will come in well in the minus (maybe -200 to -250 or longer). Projections suggest this anyway. Again, be patient and pick one's spots here. That is because a win in Round 3 for Silva is going to command plus value.
The betting pick of Silva by KO/TKO/Submission in Round 3 is going out on a limb. Hey, sometimes risk favors the bold and a small wager in this spot will not hurt a bankroll. After all, UFC 306 is again not that far off.
Do not forget these solid offshore sportsbook reviews where you can bet on the other UFC fights on this main card and some new UFC 306 props:
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