Real Madrid and Atalanta open up their 2024-25 seasons with a continental affair in Warsaw, Poland. As champions of the Champions League and Europa League, the two will clash to determine the true king of European soccer on August 14. Real Madrid will feature new acquisition Kylian Mbappe in their selection for the first time. Read on to access an expert UEFA Super Cup 2024 prediction and get tips and statistics for Real Madrid betting.
- UEFA Super Cup
- August 14, 2024
- Winner of Champions League vs Winner of Europa League
- Real Madrid vs Atalanta
- PGE Narodowy, Warsaw, Poland
- Paramount+
UEFA Super Cup 2024: Real Madrid is the Betting Favorite
Real Madrid, as the Champions League winners, are unsurprisingly the favorite to win the UEFA Super Cup in 2024. Los Blancos are lined at (-173) to get the job done in the first 90 minutes. Their opponents, who upset Bayer Leverkusen in the final of the Europa League, are (+388) underdogs. A draw, which would force an immediate penalty shootout, is available at (+320).
Want to better understand the 3-way moneyline (1X2) market? See our soccer betting tips and learn about UEFA Champions League betting.
Kylian Mbappe Set to Debut for Real Madrid
One of the biggest transactions in soccer history (and one of the worst-kept secrets) took place this summer. Childhood Real Madrid fan Kylian Mbappe finally joined the Spanish club, putting an end to years of speculation. The Frenchman declined a near-billion dollar contract to play in Saudi Arabia for one season so he could play for Real Madrid. Now one of the “Galacticos,” along with Jude Bellingham and Vinicius Junior, there are high hopes for Los Blancos this season.
But a big question lingers as we enter the beginning of Mbappe’s chapter in Real Madrid: What position will he play? The winger is accustomed to playing on the left side, but that has been Vinicius Junior’s domain for years now. Bellingham can easily play an attacking midfielder role, leaving him out of the front line. But Mbappe and Vini will have to decide who takes the right side, unless Real decides to go with 3 up top.
Perhaps a Vini-Mbappe-Rodrygo pairing could give them the spacing they need. However, there is only one ball on the field, so these stars will have to get used to having less touches and less consistency on the pitch. If I were Carlo Ancelotti, I would rather play Mbappe on the wing than Vinicius, since he is more streaky and pacey than the Brazilian. Bellingham will fit in nicely in the #10 spot, and Vini should be happy to play a center forward role where he will receive plenty of great service, and can still push left if an opening is created.
Format and Background for this Season’s First Big Game
The UEFA Super Cup, previously known as the European Super Cup and the Super Competition, is a one-match event juxtaposing the two victors the UEFA Champions League and the UEFA Europa League. Originally played in an aggregate format, now the two clubs meet in a neutral venue and decide the winner in one day. If there is a draw after 90 minutes, extra time will be forgone and the sides will immediately begin penalty kicks. Stade Louis II in Monaco was the host for 15 consecutive years until 2013, when various stadiums began to take on the role.
Despite its short format, the trophy is a coveted one by European countries, as it provides another way of accurately determining the best club in Europe. Yet only once in the last 11 years has the Champions League representative lost. That came in 2018, when Atletico Madrid defeated Real Madrid 4-2 after extra time.
The Super Cup has been dominated by Spanish clubs in the new millennium. A majority of the last 24 years have produced a Spanish champion. FC Barcelona and Real Madrid are tied atop the all-time ranking with 5 wins each, along with Milan. If Real Madrid defeats Atalanta next week, they will break the all-time record and continue a long line of Spanish conquest in European soccer tournaments.
UEFA Super Cup 2024: Real Madrid Betting Analysis and Free Pick
Real Madrid have a lot of kinks to work out before their domestic season begins in late August. The introduction of Kylian Mbappe will undoubtedly cause issues in set up and attack, but it’s a great problem to have. I have my doubts that they will be able to figure this all out on the training field, so Real may look a bit shaky tactically in this first match with Mbappe.
Atalanta are still running high off their big upset against Leverkusen, based on Europa League odds, and enter this season as the 5th-biggest favorites in Serie A, a league that is gaining a lot of traction in Europe. The top flight in Italy surpassed La Liga for the #2 spot in UEFA’s rankings. Atalanta also qualified for the Champions League with a top-4 spot last season.
5 of the last 6 years have ended in a draw after the first 90 minutes, an outcome we can see happening often in this edition, especially at a scoreline of 1-1. The neutral venue will contribute to a more tense atmosphere, and players will certainly be rusty. With XBet and MyBookie offering a generous line on the draw bet, I would recommend a half unit on the draw at (+320).
Odds are accurate at the time of writing but are subject to change.
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