- What: UFC 306 Main Event
- Who: Sean O'Malley vs. Merab Dvalishvili
- Date: Sunday, September 15, 2024
- Location: The Sphere in Las Vegas, Nevada
- Time: Prelims (7:30 p.m. ET), Main Card (10:00 p.m. ET), Main Event (just after Midnight. ET)
- How to Watch: Prelims (ESPN/ESPN+) Main Card (PPV), Main Event (PPV)
UFC 306 expects to leave it all in Las Vegas. Okay, September 15 at The Sphere in Las Vegas, Nevada is nearing. This is one of the more even fights on the main card. Sean O'Malley takes on Merab Dvalishvili. Do not forget on this card, there is a ladies Flyweight title bout. Best UFC 306 bets dive into the main event this time around .
Sean O'Malley, the Bantamweight champion, (18-1, 1 NC) has won his last six fights. He did win a highly controversial split decision over Peter Yan. Considering that 25 of 26 media outlets scored the fight for Yan, O'Malley had some serious luck at UFC 280. It is hard to believe that fight occurred two years ago. O'Malley since won the Bantamweight title from Aljamain Sterling (TKO from punches). He avenged his only loss to Marlon Vera with a comfortable unanimous decision.
Merab Dvalishvili (17-4) is up for his first title shot in the UFC. The win against Petr Yan by unanimous decision turned some heads. It even tipped some to tab the Russian as the next Bantamweight champion.
Yan was the only common opponent for the two fighters. What are some of the best bets for the Sean O'Malley vs. Merab Dvalishvili bout on this UFC 306 card? Let's feast our eye on those top-cut UFC betting online 2024 sites and where you can find the best odds on all UFC fights.
UFC 306 Main: Sean O'Malley vs. Merab Dvalishvili Betting Picks
Best UFC 306 Bets: Sean O'Malley Betting Analysis
Yes, the Best UFC 306 Bets, it is another pay-per-view where the underdog is the champion. So, betting analysis trends toward the older fighter here. The good news is that O'Malley has a title defense under his belt. He knows the pressure and he knows what to expect. After all, he is facing "The Madman" in the Octagon in less than four weeks.
Okay, when it comes to knockouts, submissions, and decisions. O'Malley centers more on knockouts. From his 18 wins, we have seen 12 come by knockout with one submission, and five decisions. There was that accidental eye poke for a no-contest. However, the American from Montana was winning on the scorecards there. While strikes per this and takedowns per that are nice metrics, the bottom line is that O'Malley wins.
Funny enough, the champion has three Performance Of The Night awards in his past five fights. That includes his win over Marlon Vera in March at UFC 299. Some expected a TKO from punches but O'Malley could not finish off Vera. It was Vera who handed the champion his only loss via a barrage of punches at UFC 252.
So, there may be a little less pressure on O'Malley here. If anything, the champion is even more of an underdog than he was a couple of weeks ago, With that plus number growing, that becomes even better news. The American has the highest and second-highest strike differential rate in Bantamweight history. With a four-inch reach advantage, O'Malley should be able to gain an edge in the main event.
UFC 306: Merab Dvalishvili Betting Picks
Merab Dvalishvili gets called "The Madman" for an excellent reason. This is because the Russian fights like his life is on the line every single fight. Partly, this is why when he does lose, it is often via submission or knockout. Dvalishvili has won ten straight contests. The only thing is that finishing ability. He has only three knockouts and one submission. The Best UFC 306 Bets do wonder about that.
Dvalishvili must pick his spots against O'Malley. Do understand that O'Malley can throw more powerful combinations given his strike rate. That means the Russian must grapple, take down, and use his ground then pound game. It is likely his only way to victory unless he catches the champion off-guard.
Therefore, a vast majority of experts believe the Russian will try to keep wearing down on O'Malley. He will go for the decision against the younger fighter. No one is expecting a result like against Marlon Moraes. The American will not go meekly like that. It will be a bout where Dvalishvili must grind his opponent down and then let it go to the scorecards.
Best UFC 306 Bets – Sean O'Malley vs. Merab Dvalishvili
When browsing through the early Best UFC 306 Bets, do not worry about rankings. Even some metrics are often overblown. Look at immediate form going into the fight, common opponent, and even how much the fighters have to depend on a ground game. O'Malley can get down but he can put you down, too.
Does Dvalishvili wind up getting caught by one of those patented combinations from the American? O'Malley's nickname might be Suga but he delivers some considerable punch. O'Malley fights out of one of the bigger MMA hotspots now in Phoenix, Arizona. Can the Russian take the heat? Ultimately, he may falter late.
The betting pick of O'Malley to win by knockout is now +200. That will shift. It would be prudent to get on this in case the money starts to move the other direction. Was O'Malley saving a little for this fight? One has to wonder and we will find out come the middle of September at UFC 306.
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