UFC 304 Betting: Aspinall vs Blaydes 2 Best Picks

What: UFC 304 Co-Main
Who: Tom Aspinall vs. Curtis Blaydes 2
Date: Saturday, July 27, 2024
Location: Co-op Live in Manchester, England
Time: Early Prelims (6:00 p.m. ET), Prelims (8:00 p.m. ET), Pay-Per-View Card (10:00 p.m. ET), Main Event (around Midnight ET)
How to Watch: Early Prelims (ESPN+) Prelims (ESPN), Main Card (ESPN+ PPV)

Rejoice all you UFC fans out there! UFC 304, takes place on July 27 at Co-op Live in Manchester, England. Okay, on the co-main of the ESPN+ streaming pay-per-view card, UFC heavyweight interim champion Tom Aspinall (Salford, England), goes up against American Curtis Blaydes. Aspinall wants to defend his belt while setting up a potential mega fight late in 2024 or early 2025 with Jon Jones potentially. Naturally, Blaydes wants to spoil the party. Aspinall vs Blaydes bets demand some background.

Tom Aspinall, the interim champion, (14-3) has not technically lost in his past 11 fights. He won the UFC interim heavyweight title in November 2023 with a stunning early knockout of Sergei Pavlovich. The performance of the night was all his. This is his first title defense.

Curtis Blaydes (18-4-0-1) has won four of his previous five fights. The loss to Pavlovich, however, is interesting in all of this. The 33-year-old knows time is running out if he wants to make a run for the Heavyweight Title.

Meeting number one ended mere seconds after the start. The 2022 bout was a loss to Aspinall after a freak knee injury in Round 1. What are some of the best bets for the Tom Aspinall vs. Curtis Blaydes rematch on this UFC 304 PPV card? Let us look at the elite UFC betting online 2024 sites and where you can find the top odds on all the UFC fights.

UFC 304 Co-Main: Tom Aspinall vs. Curtis Blaydes 2 Betting Picks

UFC 304 Co-Main
Tom Aspinall	-280	-260	-255
Curtis Blaydes	+225	+220	+205

UFC 304: Tom Aspinall Betting Analysis

When it comes to the Aspinall vs Blaydes Bets, it is essential to mention that what could have already been for Aspinall. Now, the Englishman might be the undisputed heavyweight champion already if it had not been for that freak knee injury two years ago. In some ways, the injury made Tom Aspinall even stronger. His 78 inch reach matters little compared to his solid 262 pound frame and power. Aspinall has 14 wins - 11 by knockout, three by submission.

Now, there is little question the knee injury came at the worst possible time for Aspinall. He knew it would cost him a large chunk of time. The amazing part of everything is this. The British fighter came back almost exactly a year after that London misfortune to win in a 73-second brutal knockout of Marcin Tybura. Aspinall's pattern is simple. Punishment comes from any and all angles and often ends fights fast.

Aspinall setting all sorts of UFC heavyweight records in his career. From striking differential difference to punches landed, some of the metrics are astounding. There is power and then there is power personified. Anyone who faces Aspinall will have to be able to take the fury and combinations. Yes, every one of Aspinall's wins have been by either knockout or submission.

So, the British Heavyweight makes for a compelling pick for many reasons. Another one is how fast he moves. We could say nimble here but Aspinall does maneuver around the octagon like someone more around 200 pounds. This allows him to keep his power and can land punches and elbows from a variety of positions. Curtis Blaydes is in for a rough night.

Tom Aspinall To defeat Curtis Blaydes

-255

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UFC 304: Curtis Blaydes Betting Picks

Curtis Blaydes gets called "The Razor" for a reason. This is because Blaydes has some amazingly sharp moves when on the floor of the octagon. His wrestling and grapping ability is legendary. He has the most takedowns in UFC history at 62. However, he has a mere three takedowns in the past six fights. His striking ability has improved. However, the Aspinall vs Blaydes Bets do wonder if he can find a way to turn back the clock late on July 27th / early July 28th.

His last several wins (not via decision) have come via punches and not stemming much from his grappling prowess. The one hope that Blaydes has is if this fight can get into the later rounds. Does Blaydes have better cardio at this stage of his career? It is not so cut and dry considering the Colorado native is now up around 265 pounds. Also, his last fight that went more than two rounds was his bout against Alexander Volkov in June of 2020.

A few experts believe that Blaydes must try and get Aspinall on the ground early. The British fighter will not be easy to take down but Blaydes needs to either execute there or catch Aspinall with a combination in the opening minute or so. That could pave the way to a victory. Anything short of that may mean defeat.

Curtis Blaydes To defeat Tom Aspinall

+225

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Best Bets: UFC 304 C0-Main – Tom Aspinall vs. Curtis Blaydes 2

When foraging through the Aspinall vs Blaydes Bets, the first thing is disregard fight number one. For one, it lasted only 15 seconds before Aspinall's knee infamously blew out. Expect a much different outcome this time around. Now, Aspinall will be infinitely motivated to win and put on a show. He must also be mindful of Blaydes and his deceptive power (whether via punches or grappling).

Aspinall is alert and must be vigilant at all times. Anything less presents potential for a defeat here.

The betting pick is for Tom Aspinall to win by knockout, but there is this shot that we can roll KO/TKO by punches. After all, the number is a more appetizing -150 in early betting. Expect Aspinall to get his chance to go against the even bigger boys of the division. Picking Round 2 may be an intriguing bet for the ending round. Go for the KO!

Tom Aspinall To KO/TKO Curtis Blaydes

-150

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